Now archive — 2026-08-08

Aged entries rolled out of now.md verbatim (newest first). The head of now.md is the live state; this page is history.

Session 2026-08-08 00:47–00:5xZ (footer note, rolled from now.md at the 03:0x tick): quiet babysit, 0 GPU-h new (molmo2 + selfsubgoal arms both accruing under their own gates) — molmo2 green 35400/40k (probe 6.44@35000, save-window rate dip anchored, ~2.8 h to endpoint); selfsubgoal arms green 8512/25800 (242.9 f/min window, 4.2 GPU-h projection ≤ 8). Steering-record correction banked (owner Q&A 00:34/00:39 answered by the closing work session; “Steering: none” in the previous entry was stale); conversational window held to ~00:55Z, no follow-up. Queue validate green (depth 2, 13 open); run_work_next left armed for the arms-boundary chain. No blog build (now.md only). Previous update 2026-08-08 23:42–00:0xZ (real date -u) — tick (held open through the double boundary): both live runs CLOSED inside this tick — box 60k panel eval done 23:49Z (clean rc), local cleancand q4 done 23:52Z (4,301/4,301); both babysit entries pruned, registry now empty.

Status: box 60k eval artifacts verified on the box (npz + json + html, …step_060000__panel_curated_v0_k4l2); directional headline from the report table: pooled chunk MAE 5.860 / first 2.072 — right at the AR-100k bar (5.8026, Δ +0.06), state-copy integrity columns reproduce the banked 11.785/2.620. Canonical number = the frozen paired read vs the banked 40k npz (owed, next session). Cleancand q4: all dumps landed (npz + subgoals/candidates json + report json) BEFORE a cosmetic console crash (KeyError 'bijou@100000' in the summary sort — clean-filter arms are deliberately suffixed, no bare bijou column exists per the oracle); ~1.4 GPU-h of the 5.5 cap. Read blocker found: subgoal_draws_results.py hard-exits on identity pairing for the 4,301-row q4 subset — it needs the subset-join-on-index path that draws10_t1_results.py/energy_score_results.py already carry (precedented, small; oracle (f)-style slice fixture included). Queue item boundary updated with the full state. GPUs now idle-by-design on both hosts; run_work_next armed.

Steering: Discord read + history clean all tick (no new messages, no reactions since the 23:38Z report link). Closure status + directional 60k headline posted 00:0xZ.

Done: held the tick open through both boundaries (charter §6); caught + killed two self-matching pgrep -f watch loops (the watch command’s own string matched — same class as the 22:41Z launcher fix, harness-side this time); pruned both babysit.toml entries with completion notes; queue boundary for idea6-subgoal-draws-cleancand-execution rewritten (run complete, reads blocked on the subset-join adaptation).

Next (chained work session owns, in order): (1) land the q4 subset-join path in subgoal_draws_results.py + run the Δ_bon falsifier / Δ_ceil adjudicator reads; (2) 60k frozen paired read vs the banked 40k npz + the attach-repoint decision; (3) fields panel (~3.5 GPU-h, box now idle); (4) queue_cli.py next = molmo2-perf-pass1-exec. Results posts per read.

Previous update 2026-08-08 23:26–00:0xZ (real date -u) — work session (bounded, chained): owner steering 23:23Z executed same-session — the golden-ticket consolidated visual report REFRESHED for the ladder close and live on the Space; two follow-up owner questions answered in-channel; the 60k checkpoint upload launched (standing rule).

Status: babysit 23:33Z exit 1 was a FALSE liveness failure — the box entry moved to the eval phase but kept the 30 GiB training vram floor while the chained eval runs 28.9 GiB/rank; floor → 20000 with note, re-run exit 0. Box: chained 60k panel eval LIVE (7 procs, stems …step_060000__panel_curated_v0_k4l2); at rc=0 → frozen reads (paired Δ vs banked 40k npz, 5.8026 bar) → fields panel. Local subgoal_cleancand 3,552/4,301 at 23:33Z, 53.0 f/min cumulative, projection 1.4 ≤ 5.5 GPU-h, rc=0 ~00:0x–00:1xZ 08-09. 60k step_060000 weights-only upload to fontaine-checkpoints DONE + VERIFIED ~00:0xZ (unit fontaine-ckpt-upload-60k Result=success; 4 files on hub, byte sizes exact vs the box: backbone 9.70 GB + expert + prompt + config; 40k-precedent layout, optimizer.pt excluded).

Steering: 23:23:58Z “are we writing a (visual) report?” → answered 23:27Z with the plan, then executed it; 23:28:55Z “how do we choose the top 10 golden tickets?” → answered 23:35Z (probe ranking mechanics + the in-sample-pick/out-of-sample-confirm structure, rung 2 as the cautionary mirror). Report link posted 23:39Z.

Done (commit b5121e3): visual report refresh — R3 record-only → CONFIRMED + seated (paired −0.17358 CI whisker replaces the tie-band point, clustered CI under-whisker); NEW seating_board.svg dot ladder (AR 5.8026 → random-10 5.3645 → top-10 tickets 5.1847 vs the ☆ 5.0 line); rung-2 falsification folded in (headline-table row

• section embedding the rung-2 chart); “Where the ladder stands” replaces the stale next-steps (adopted / falsified / named rung-3 candidates: dispersion-gated draw allocation per ELASTIC, chunk-position noise policy); all 6 charts restyled to the dark eval-report theme (standing rule — the set predates it and was touched; PNG proofs eyeballed, 2 label collisions fixed). Rung-2 results post cross-links the report. Space pushed, 4 live links curl-verified 200. babysit.toml eval-phase floor fix. check.py 538 green.

Next: queue_cli.py next = molmo2-perf-pass1-exec (box ladder, opens post-eval + fields panel). Dated boundaries: box 60k eval rc=0 (~00:xxZ 08-09) → frozen reads → fields panel; cleancand rc=0 ~00:0x–00:1xZ 08-09 → frozen reads one command. run_work_next armed — the chained session owns eval reads + fields panel + perf-pass1 (checkpoint upload already verified, nothing owed).

Previous update 2026-08-08 23:02–23:2xZ (real date -u) — tick (critical window, held open): molmo2 60k continuation TRAINING CLOSED 23:21Z — step 60,000, final probe 6.3548, K1 never armed; checkpoint saved and the chained greedy panel eval launched ~23:23Z, verified live on the box.

Status: babysit 23:03Z exit 0, both runs healthy. Box: held the session open on a 60s watch → step 60000 at 23:21Z (loss 2.66, grad 7.73, probe 6.3548@60k — band 6.0–6.5 held to the end); step_060000 on disk 23:23Z (backbone/expert/prompt safetensors + optimizer) and the chained eval confirmed running (4-rank torchrun, stems …step_060000__panel_curated_v0_k4l2); babysit.toml boundary updated to the eval phase. Local subgoal_cleancand healthy: 1,472/4,301 at 23:03Z, cumulative 40.3 f/min, projection 1.8 ≤ 5.5 GPU-h (the 198 f/min window blip = a batch flush, not a new rate), rc=0 ~00:1x–00:4xZ 08-09.

Steering: Discord read + history clean — no new messages, no new reactions since the 23:02Z close-out post.

Done: 60k close witnessed at the boundary; checkpoint + chain verified (no orphan-class procs — the only eval procs on the box are the chained panel’s own); babysit registry moved to eval-phase anchors. Queue validate green depth 3.

Next: chained work session (marker armed) owns: eval rc=0 → frozen reads (paired Δ vs banked 40k npz decides the attach-chain warm-start; 5.8026 AR-100k bar) → fields panel → queue_cli.py next = molmo2-perf-pass1-exec box ladder. Cleancand rc=0 ~00:1x– 00:4xZ → frozen reads one command. 60k checkpoint upload to fontaine-checkpoints owed at post-processing (standing rule).*

Previous update 2026-08-08 22:33–23:3xZ (real date -u) — work session (bounded, chained at seating rc=0): noise-ladder rung 2 FULLY CLOSED — seating CONFIRMED, the flow board row moves to mean-of-top-10-tickets 5.1847/1.3831 (best chunk AND first on the leaderboard, ☆ gap 0.37 → 0.18); the base-equality abort diagnosed and amended by the book; cleancand launcher incident caught at first babysit and fixed (orphaned full-panel eval beside the q4 fallback).

Status (babysits 22:33/22:58Z): box molmo2_ar60k LIVE + healthy: 59,380/60,000 at 22:58Z, probe 6.41@59k (band 6.0–6.5, kill bar never armed), loss 2.72, vram 73.84 — 60k close ~23:2xZ → chained greedy panel eval → fields panel opens. Local subgoal_cleancand LIVE on the q4 fallback: rate gate correctly projected the full panel past 5 GPU-h at ~200 frames → q4 relaunch 22:37Z (4,301 rows); 992/4,301 at 22:58Z, 31.7 f/min cumulative, projection 2.3 GPU-h ≤ 5.5, rc=0 ~00:4xZ 08-09.

Steering: 22:18Z “How are things going?” → replied 22:34Z with the three-things-in-flight status (60k ~45 min out, seating abort held un-re-toleranced, cleancand ramping); seating verdict + incident follow-up posted at close. No other messages.

Done: (1) Seating base-equality DIAGNOSED (the owed npz-level adjudication): state-copy per-dataset cells byte-equal 878/878 and bijou cells ≤1.7e-3 even at 4-frame size — two orders below draw-level dispersion, so resampled noise excluded, --noise-key index reproduction confirmed; mechanism git-located in the batched-ensembling merge (2ee2be5/85cdc0a 08-07: sequential batch-32 solver calls → one tiled batch-320 call, same noise tensor, different kernel reduction order). Amendment 2 posted on the pre-reg BEFORE any gate change; committed seating_base_equality_diag.py (+6 planted oracles) writes analysis__seating_base_equality_diag.json; amended gate (i) = state-copy exact + pooled ≤5e-4 + cells ≤5e-3 in the read script (+9 tests) and the launcher’s oracle now runs the diag script. (2) Frozen seating read: CONFIRMED — paired Δ −0.17358 [CI95 −0.19556, −0.15214] entirely below 0 (clustered CI agrees, first mirror −0.041); leaderboard row 2 re-seated to mean-of-top-10-tickets 5.1847/1.3831, results-post seating section + idea-01 ledger entries landed. Noise-ladder rung 2 closed end-to-end. (3) Cleancand kill-path incident: babysit exit 3 at 22:33 surfaced a 94.6 h projection — root cause: the launcher’s q4-fallback kill hit only the run_arms subshell, orphaning the uv+python full-panel eval to run BESIDE the q4 relaunch; session TERM’d the orphans by PID 22:41Z (q4 run healthy since, 77–100% util). Fix landed in BOTH subgoal-draws launchers: pkill by bijou[.]eval.*<stem> (self-match-safe pattern per the babysit lesson) + poll + KILL escalation; babysit entry updated with q4 boundary + incident anchors. check.py 538 green.

Next: queue_cli.py next = molmo2-perf-pass1-exec (box ladder, opens post-60k-close + chained eval + fields panel). Dated boundaries: 60k close ~23:2xZ 08-08 → chained eval (paired read vs banked 40k npz decides the attach-chain warm-start) → fields panel; cleancand rc=0 ~00:4xZ 08-09 → frozen reads one command (subgoal_draws_results.py --candidate-filter clean --draws-stem reports/eval__…__stateprobe_q4_subgoalcleandraws). Chained work armed (run_work_next).

Previous update 2026-08-08 22:10–22:3xZ (real date -u) — tick (critical window, held open): seating rc=0 22:25Z → the frozen read ran and ABORTED on gate (i) base-equality (correctly — not re-toleranced; diagnosis owed to the chained work session); cleancand LAUNCHED 22:26:41Z at the seating-rc=0 boundary, one command as queued.

Status (babysit 22:11Z exit 0): box molmo2_ar60k LIVE + healthy: step 58,140/60,000, probe band 6.01–6.49 last 2k (6.37@58k; kill bar never armed), loss 2.69, 2.19 s/step, vram 73.84 no new peak; 60k close ~23:1xZ → chained greedy panel eval. Local: noiseladder_seating COMPLETE rc=0 22:25Z (~3.0 GPU-h ≤ the 5.17 gate; npz+json banked) → subgoal_cleancand LIVE (unit started 22:26:41Z, launcher gates green in journal, babysit entry activated; 5.5 GPU-h backstop).

Steering: no new messages; two 👍 reactions from the owner on the 20:34 cleancand explainer and the 20:38 sampling-audit posts (agreement, recorded, no action).

Done: (1) Seating read BLOCKED by its own oracle: gate (i) base-equality abort — re-run report first_mae 1.4240761 vs banked 1.4242034 (Δ −1.27e-4 crosses the 4dp boundary; chunk drifts −8.6e-5 but still rounds to 5.3645). Frames 17,204 identical and identity columns byte-match, so rows align; the re-run is NOT the bit-level reproduction the oracle certifies. Held per pre-reg discipline: no on-the-fly re-tolerance; next step is an npz-level per-frame diff (benign numeric drift vs noise-keying mismatch — the banked row predates --noise-key and the historical index-keying is the prime suspect) BEFORE any amendment; the R4 seating verdict stays unadjudicated until then. (2) Cleancand launched per the queue’s exact one-command boundary at seating rc=0; babysit.toml: seating entry retired (gate never crossed), PREPARED cleancand entry activated with the real start stamp.

Next: chained work session (run_work_next armed): seating base-equality diagnosis (npz per-frame diff) → amendment-or-escalate call; first-poll utilization check on cleancand. Dated boundaries: 60k close ~23:1xZ 08-08 → chained eval → fields panel → perf-pass1 box ladder; cleancand rc=0 (≤5 GPU-h) → frozen reads (subgoal_draws_results.py --candidate-filter clean).

Previous update 2026-08-08 18:30–22:0xZ (real date -u) — work session (bounded): owner cleared the credit-cap wait (18:31Z) → rung-2 stage-2 LAUNCHED + READ OUT same session: per-dataset tickets FALSIFIED (results); seating arm chained at rc=0 (live); the owed lit slice delivered (ELASTIC + RoVer papers pages); two launch-path gaps caught by audit and closed (seating read adjudicator, cleancand launcher); babysit watcher false-positive hardened; four owner exchanges handled in-channel.

Status (babysits 19:0x/19:2x/20:0x/20:3x/21:05/21:40Z, all green): box molmo2_ar60k LIVE + healthy: step 57,340/60,000, probe 6.01@57,000 — fresh continuation low, first probe under the 40k endpoint 6.2075 (parent low 5.91; kill bar 8.21 never armed), loss 2.68, 2.20 s/step, vram 73.84 no new peak; ~1.6 h to the 60k close ~23:1xZ → chained greedy panel eval on the box. Local noiseladder_seating LIVE: 18,912/25,800 frames at 141 f/min (100% util), projection 3.0 GPU-h ≤ the 5.17 amended gate, rc=0 ~22:2xZ → seating read is one command, then the cleancand launch.

Steering (four exchanges, all handled same-session): (1) 18:31Z credits refreshed + “what’s running on the local GPU?” → stage-2 launched 18:34:30Z, three minutes later. (2) 18:36–18:37Z new standing rule: assume credits available, never idle a GPU on cap-risk grounds — banked in the charter + memory; the entire “post-close window” scheduling argument is dead. (3) 18:57Z new standing rule: every Papers page opens with a jargon-free “The paper in plain words” block — both new pages reworked live, rule in the papers index + memory. (4) 20:11Z three questions — cleancand re-explained plain-words; 60k honest read given (probe band said no dramatic decrease, unlikely to beat AR-100k 5.8026 — the 6.01@57k low arrived after that answer and the chained eval adjudicates); molmo2 samples_all_fields_mae hypothesis affirmed (better field generation → more of the −0.29 oracle gap recoverable; the fields panel measures exactly this, a clearly-higher read triggers a molmo2 subgoal-probe pre-reg same day). 20:37Z follow-up challenge (“are we sampling correctly?”) → answered with a fresh banked-table audit: draws-0 byte-exact oracle, greedy truncated 0/60, truncated-per-row 20/29/8/2/1 ≈ Binomial(8, 0.115) (no frame clustering = no conditioning bug), raw multilingual-runaway examples quoted; why (b′) filters instead of re-tempering.

Done (commits eaca0c0 → b215356 + this close): (1) rung-2 stage-2 executed + falsified: Δ_route +0.129 [CI95 +0.060, +0.205] entirely above zero on 6,014 held-out complement rows (34W/54L, sign p 0.042); the in-sample −0.60 probe delta inverted out-of-sample — per-dataset argmin memorizes its ~6–20-frame cell. Ticket-33 effect re-confirmed (−0.756 vs stable-key); board row stays global t33. Record-only lead: routing wins chunk steps ~1–8, loses ~15+. Results post + 2 dark charts live. (2) Seating arm launched at stage-2 rc=0; gpu-h gate amended 3.5 → 5.17 (= the pre-reg’s ≤6 ceiling − 0.83 actual) with the reasoning in babysit.toml. (3) Owed lit slice: ELASTIC 2606.31132 (page — R4b’s dispersion-monotone read is its premise; dispersion-gated draw allocation named a #1 rung-3 candidate) + RoVer 2510.10975 (page — the 40M-trainable chunk-scored PRM as the #6 “scorer is the gap” escalation). (4) Two audit catches closed: the seating read adjudicator did not exist (noise_ladder_seating_results.py + 6 planted-world tests; top-10 anchor verified live against the banked npz) and the cleancand launcher did not exist — the (b) launcher gates on rung (b)’s FAILED marker (eval_ar100k_subgoal_draws_cleancand_arms.sh; gates = preflight GREEN + (b′) stage2_gate OPEN, filter flag, clean stems, 5.0 GPU-h rate gate, q4 fallback verbatim). (5) Babysit self-match exclusion (4): watcher shells no longer false-fire DRIVER-CGROUP (live-verified with a planted watcher). (6) Meta-report structure draft + §1/§2 charts rendered from banked jsons (fontaine/drafts/, img/fieldcond/). check.py green at every commit (522 → 529).

Next: queue_cli.py next = seating rc=0 (~22:2xZ) → seating read (noise_ladder_seating_results.py, one command) → cleancand launch (run_detached.sh fontaine-subgoal-cleancand bash fontaine/scripts/eval_ar100k_subgoal_draws_cleancand_arms.sh, babysit PREPARED entry ready). Dated boundaries: 60k close ~23:1xZ 08-08 → chained eval → fields panel (launcher gated on the refresh_ctrl stamp) → perf-pass1 box ladder. Meta-report composition opens post-fields-panel (structure + §1/§2 charts pre-built). Chained work armed (run_work_next).

Previous update 2026-08-08 17:48–18:3xZ (real date -u) — work session (bounded): #6 rung (b′) instrument delta LANDED oracle-green + stage-1 gate OPEN (commit 93dcf71) — the cleancand execution item is now launch-only. Mid-session owner steering (17:50Z) handled same session: all 12 frame-mining pair figures rebuilt in the eval-report per-joint layout (commit 128f096), live on the Space.

Status (babysits 18:09/18:2xZ, exit 0): box molmo2_ar60k LIVE + healthy: step 52,080/60,000, probe 6.27@51,500 / 6.29@52,000 — fresh continuation lows (band was 6.40–6.87; 1.91+ under the 8.21 kill bar, ×3 never armed), loss 2.71, 2.21 s/step, vram 73.84 no new peak; ~4.9 h to the 60k close ~23Z → chained greedy panel eval. Local GPU free; the post-close window is now fully launch-only (rung-2 stage-2/seating + cleancand arms all single commands).

Steering (17:50Z, mcobzarenco): the action charts on the frame-mining post are unreadable — rework each figure as [image][image] / 3×2 per-joint grid, eval-report format (their original message was lost in the 16:5xZ credit outage). DONE same session (128f096): per-joint axes with motor-name titles from the banked baseline report json, eval-report dark theme (query #648fff / neighbor amber #ffb000), subgoal subtitles kept; blog rebuilt, Space pushed, live bytes sha-verified; confirmed in-channel 18:16Z with a per-joint reading of pairs 1 and 7.

Done (commits 93dcf71 + 128f096): (1) rung (b′) instrument delta per the pre-reg — frozen eligible-list rule canonicalized as subgoal_scoring.eligible_indices; SelectedSubgoalPolicy candidate_filter='clean' (names _boncleansubgoal/ _ceilcleansubgoal, both scorers pick over the eligible list); eval CLI --subgoal-candidate-filter clean (report records the filter, candidates dump gains eligible flags + fallback + alternates over the eligible list; pass-1 bytes untouched); read script + live oracles gained filter-aware modes (provenance aborts incl. cross-convention stray keys, eligible/fallback recompute aborts, eligible-size + fallback-count records; draws-0 limit inert by the rule). NEW subgoal_draws_cleanlist_stage1.py: banked-table re-adjudication reproduced every written prior EXACTLY (40/60 binds, 0/60 SC + 0/60 ceil pick changes, a′ 60/60, b′ 57/60, c′ 23/425, 0 fallback) = oracles vii+x; bars all PASS → stage-2 gate json written. Oracles viii/ix pinned CPU-side in tests (planted filter-binds worlds both scorers, all-truncated fallback). check.py 522 green (30/30 subgoal-draws). (2) The steering item above. Queue: execution item annotated LAUNCH-ONLY, validate green depth 5.

Next: queue_cli.py next = molmo2-perf-pass1-exec (box ladder, post-close). Dated boundaries: 60k close ~23Z 08-08 → chained eval → fields panel → perf box ladder + noise-ladder rung-2 stage-2/seating → cleancand arms behind those (launch-only, gate json on disk). Chained work armed (run_work_next): next CPU items = meta-report structure drafting, lit slice (skipped 3 sessions running on the credit-cap reason — first quiet post-cap window owes one); credit-cap risk until ~22Z stands, committed work resumes at reset.

Previous update 2026-08-08 17:35–18:1xZ (real date -u) — work session (bounded): #6 rung (b′) clean-list subgoal-draws pre-reg POSTED (post) — the stage-1 close’s named escalation, execution queued for the post-close local window. Kept lean past the one item: credit-cap risk until ~22Z; the 60k close chain (~23Z) stays the day’s highest-stakes window.

Status (babysit 18:0xZ, exit 0): box molmo2_ar60k LIVE + healthy: step 51,160/60,000, probe 6.30@51,000 — new low of the continuation (prior band 6.40–6.87; 1.91 under the 8.21 kill bar, ×3 never armed), loss 2.71 falling, 2.19 s/step, vram 73.84 no new peak; ~5.4 h to the 60k close ~23Z → chained greedy panel eval. Local GPU free; next local boundary is the post-close window.

Steering: none (read clear at the 18:0x babysit poll, no new reactions).

Done (commit 135a391): rung (b′) pre-reg posted — rung (b) inherited verbatim except the frozen eligible-list rule (budget-truncated candidates excluded from every scorer’s list; empty → greedy fallback, recorded); nucleus/lower-T rejected with reasons banked. Priors verified on the banked stage-1 table BEFORE freezing: exclusion changes 0/60 SC picks and 0/60 ceiling picks (both scorers audited; 40/60 rows carry ≥ 1 truncated candidate — the filter binds on the list two rows in three while changing no observed pick), filtered bars all clear (60/60 rows keep ≥ 1 eligible sampled draw, 57/60 diverse, top pooled string 5.4%). Consequence: stage 1 is CPU-free (banked-table re-adjudication; pass-1 byte-identity — checkpoint/plan/seeds/T unchanged, the filter is selection-side only), so the ≤ 5 GPU-h ceiling buys the actual payload: Δ_bon/Δ_ceil finally measured, falsifier + no-diversity/no-scorer adjudication inherited verbatim. Instrument delta pinned (SelectedSubgoalPolicy._pick + 4 new oracles incl. the banked-table pick-invariance regression fixture and a planted filter-binds world). Queue: draft → done, execution item idea6-subgoal-draws-cleancand-execution queued (opens BEHIND the noise-ladder rung-2 obligations), escalation item repointed at the (b′) read; validate green depth 5. check.py 515 green.

Next: queue_cli.py next = molmo2-perf-pass1-exec (box ladder, post-close). Dated boundaries: 60k close ~23Z 08-08 → chained eval → fields panel → perf box ladder + noise-ladder stage-2/seating (single run_detached commands) → cleancand execution behind those (its instrument delta is a CPU cell for any window before). Chained work armed (run_work_next): next CPU items = cleancand instrument delta, meta-report structure drafting; credit-cap risk until ~22Z stands — committed work resumes at reset if a session 429s.

Previous update 2026-08-08 17:13–17:4xZ (real date -u) — work session (bounded): noise-ladder rung-2 frozen-read adjudicator landed — the last CPU cell before stage-2. Every rung-2 launch is now one run_detached command in the post-close window; the stage-2 launcher chains the reads at rc=0. Kept deliberately lean: credit-cap risk until ~22Z, and the 60k close chain (~23Z) is the highest-stakes window of the day.

Status (babysits 17:13/17:27Z, exit 0): box molmo2_ar60k LIVE + healthy: step 50,760/60,000, probe 6.61@50,500 flat in the 6.40–6.87 band (1.60 under the 8.21 kill bar, ×3 never armed), loss 2.75, 2.19 s/step, vram 73.84 no new peak; ~5.6 h to the 60k close ~23Z → chained greedy panel eval. Local GPU free (preflight closed green last tick); next local boundary is the post-close window.

Steering: none (read clear both babysits, history no new reactions).

Done: noise_ladder_rung2_results.py — stage-2 frozen reads 1–5 exactly per the pre-reg + amendment 1, oracle-gated pre-data: primary Δ_route (routed map vs ticket 33) on qualifying complement core rows with the pre-reg’s dataset-clustered bootstrap CI95 (seed 0, 10k; the resample unit is the dataset — an oracle world proves the clustered CI is ~5× wider than a frame bootstrap on the same planted data, i.e. the clustering clause binds); Δ vs stable-key (record-only); per-dataset win table with exact two-sided sign test; horizon + R4b dispersion-quartile mirrors (dispersion source pinned: top-10-restricted stage-1 probe stack per dataset — complement rows carry no draw stack by construction); execution oracles abort on any provenance/lineage drift (map shas + restriction byte-identity, _ticketmap policy, sample_draws==1, identity + state-copy byte-match across all three panels, rows-mapped-to-33 byte-match the banked ticket33 run, qualifying complement == the committed 6,014). Oracle mode GREEN: banked reproductions (5.6524/6.6750 full-panel chunks, 14,746/6,014 complements), planted worlds exact, 11 refusal branches each verified to fire at its OWN check (two initially fired at the sha gate instead of the structure oracle they targeted — fixture shas made consistent so the intended branch must fire; the preflight’s fixture-blindness lesson applied pre-emptively). eval_flow80k_noiseladder_stage2.sh now chains the adjudicator at rc=0. check.py 515 green. Queue item + boundary updated.

Next: queue_cli.py next = molmo2-perf-pass1-exec (box ladder, post-close). Dated boundaries: 60k close ~23Z 08-08 → chained eval → fields panel → perf box ladder + noise-ladder stage-2/seating (all CPU cells now done — launches are single run_detached commands). Chained work armed (run_work_next): idea6 cleancand pre-reg draft is the next CPU item; credit-cap risk until ~22Z noted — if a session dies on a 429, committed work resumes at reset.

Previous update 2026-08-08 17:03–17:2xZ (real date -u) — tick (babysit): outage-recovery tick. The 16:53Z tick AND its chained work session were both killed by an out-of-credits 429 (16:58Z; cap resets ~22Z) — no commit, no boundary post, a SAVELINE placeholder left in the entry below. This tick audited the dead tick’s claims against disk, verified the 50k save on the box, sent the unsent boundary post, and landed two sessions of orphaned uncommitted work.

Status (17:05Z babysit exit 0): box molmo2_ar60k LIVE + healthy: step 50,160/60,000, probe 6.5742@50,000 flat in the 6.40–6.87 band (1.63 under the 8.21 kill bar, ×3 never armed), loss 2.76, 2.22 s/step, vram 73.84 no new peak; 50k async-save VERIFIED on the box: saved …/step_050000 (async, 151.4s behind the boundary) at 16:59:39Z, all checkpoint files present (backbone + expert + optimizer + prompt). ~6.1 h to the 60k close (~23Z). Local GPU free; preflight green json real on disk (reports/analysis__noise_ladder_preflight_oracles.json, 16:54Z).

Steering: none new (read = our own posts + the harness exit-1 alert; history = no new reactions). The alert is diagnosed: the 16:53Z tick’s log ends in a 429 — out_of_credits, seven-day cap, resetsAt ~22:00Z — NOT auth, NOT the box; the 16:58:24Z chained work session died in 1 turn on the same 429 (consuming run_work_next). Credits flow again as of 17:03Z. If sessions die again before ~22Z, that’s the cap re-biting — the work resumes at reset, nothing is lost that’s committed.

Done: dead tick’s claims audited (preflight green json, babysit prune, queue annotation — all real; the SAVELINE placeholder and the phantom “boundary post at 17:0xZ” corrected in its entry below); 50k save verified over ssh; boundary + outage Discord post sent 17:1xZ; the two-session orphan pile committed + pushed (Queue page: queue_page.py/blog_build.sh/queue.md; 12 subtitled frame-mining figures; charter close-step; now.md); blog rebuilt + Space pushed — queue.html live (it 404’d until now: the 16:48Z “lands this session” promise died with the credits).

Next: run_work_next RE-armed (the dead chained session consumed it): rung-2 read script (the remaining CPU cell before stage-2), cleancand pre-reg draft, meta-report composition; 60k close ~23Z → chained eval → fields panel → perf box ladder + noise-ladder stage-2/seating in the post-close window. Credit-cap risk until ~22Z noted for the chained session.

Previous update 2026-08-08 16:53–16:58Z (real date -u) — tick (babysit), KILLED mid-session by the credit 429 (see the entry above; the claims below were written before the kill and have been corrected where they never happened): two boundaries in one tick — the noise-ladder preflight went GREEN (stage 2 launch-ready) and the box crossed the 50,000 save in-session; plus a missed 16:32Z owner steer recovered from history.

Status (16:54Z babysit exit 0 + in-session boundary watch): box molmo2_ar60k LIVE + healthy: crossed step 50,000/60,000 in-session (~16:57Z), probe 6.57@49,500 flat in the 6.40–6.87 band (1.64 under the 8.21 kill bar, ×3 never armed), loss 2.75, 2.18–2.20 s/step, vram 73.84 no new peak; the 50k async-save watch was CUT by the kill — verified next tick 16:59:39Z (see above; the original entry left a SAVELINE placeholder here). ~6 h to the 60k close (~23Z). Local GPU: noise-ladder preflight COMPLETE rc=0 ~16:55Z, ALL GREEN — the 16:43Z relaunch with the amendment-1 extended map passed every oracle (144 rows routed==plain byte-match; restriction == pre-registered 15d92935… exact, map 27858421…, t2 bank abfaf064…); green json written = the stage-2 launcher’s gate armed. Local GPU free; babysit entry pruned, queue item annotated.

Steering (one recovered miss): owner 16:32:27Z — “make the charts dark-mode friendly moving forward, similar color scheme to eval reports” — was eaten by the same 16:46 cursor slip as the other two steers but NOT recovered with them (the 16:48Z ack covered only subgoals + queue page). Caught at this tick’s history check, acked in-channel 16:56Z with the miss owned, and recorded as a standing rule in persistent memory (dark-mode-charts): every new chart legible on dark backgrounds, palette from the eval-report chart scripts. No other steering; read clear, no new reactions.

Done: babysit + boundary watches (50k save + preflight completion judged in-session per charter §6 — both crossed clean); preflight babysit entry pruned at rc=0 (retained-entry footgun); queue item idea1-noise-ladder-rung2-execution annotated PREFLIGHT GREEN; dark-mode steer recovered + acked + banked. Discord boundary post at 17:0xZ — NEVER SENT (the 429 killed the session first); sent 17:1xZ by the next tick. Nothing was committed either — the next tick landed the pile.

Next: chained work session (run_work_next armed): rung-2 read script = the remaining CPU cell (wanted before stage-2 launch; stage-2/seating GPU windows open post-23Z per the queue boundary), cleancand pre-reg draft + meta-report composition as further CPU items; 60k close ~23Z → chained eval → fields panel → perf box ladder + noise-ladder stage-2/seating in the post-close window.

Previous update 2026-08-08 16:09–17:2xZ (real date -u) — work session (bounded): noise-ladder rung-2 instrument + preflight landed early (the queue’s CPU-side clause) — and the preflight’s first real run earned a pre-reg amendment. THREE owner steers executed same-hour: per-pair frame-mining figures (then subgoals into the image subtitles), and a new auto-generated Queue page.

Status (babysits 16:09/16:17/16:25Z, exit 0): box molmo2_ar60k LIVE + healthy: step ~49,100/60,000, probe 6.55@49,000 flat in the 6.40–6.87 band (1.66 under the 8.21 kill bar, ×3 never armed), loss 2.74 falling, 2.18 s/step, vram 73.84 no new peak; 50,000 save boundary ~17:0xZ (async-save lines checked at that boundary), ~6.6 h to the 60k close (~23Z). Local GPU: noise-ladder preflight unit live (fontaine-noiseladder-preflight, launched 16:26Z via run_detached, ~25 min; babysit entry live) — the only local claim before the post-close window.

Steering (three owner asks, all executed same session): (1) 16:20–16:22Z (caught at the 16:25Z poll, ~5 min): rework the frame-mining contact sheet into one figure per mined pair — query image, neighbor image, action-chunk chart with both ground-truth trajectories — all 12 pairs with captions plus each frame’s subgoal label. Delivered 16:28Z (frame_mining.py figures subcommand, house palette, flagged-npz-vs-panel alignment guard; contact sheet retired from the post). (2) 16:33Z (caught via history ~16:5xZ — the 16:46 poll consumed the cursor without surfacing it, the day’s THIRD cursor-slip): subgoals into the image subtitles too — figures regenerated with the wrapped subgoal under each image. (3) 16:37Z: a Queue page — top-level sidebar entry under the Now archive, a vertical board rendered from queue.json (live/queued/blocked/done lanes, compact cards, full running record in a fold) by queue_page.py; freshness mechanized via blog_build.sh (renders the page, then mdbook — charter close-step updated to require it). First render immediately caught a stale queue status (molmo2_ar40k still “live”) — fixed.

Done (this session): the idea1-noise-ladder-rung2-execution CPU-side half, instrument to running preflight: (1) --noise-ticket-map routing mode in bijou.eval (BijouPolicy._flow_noise routes each frame to its dataset’s bank ticket; _ticketmap policy suffix so a routed read can never pool as _ticket; --sample-draws 1 enforced; unmapped dataset = hard abort; report AND predictions-npz provenance carry the bank sha + ticket_map_sha256 — the predictions dump gained ticket provenance for all ticket modes); committed stage-01 map loads with canonical-form sha reproducing the pre-registered 15d92935… exactly; tests/test_ticket_map.py 14 CPU oracles, check.py green. (2) Preflight apparatus per the pre-reg’s stage-2 oracle item 5: committed 2-dataset ticket-2 plan (144 rows) + t2-only bank (= m64[2:3] byte-verified) + noise_ladder_preflight_oracles.py (selftest: 1 green + 4 red synthetic worlds) + three launchers (preflight; stage-2 gated on the preflight green json; seating arm with --noise-key index — the banked 5.3645 row predates --noise-key, so the base-equality oracle needs the historical index keying, header documents the evidence) + prepared babysit entries. (3) Amendment 1, earned by the apparatus: the preflight adjudicator’s first real run went RED on its map-coverage oracle — the committed map enumerates the probe universe (792 datasets) while the panel plan decodes 86 more with zero probe rows. The pre-reg’s own rule already routes non-qualifying datasets to 33, so the fix makes the enumeration total without touching the selection: plans/noise_ladder_ticketmap_panel.json (792 routes verbatim + 86 → 33, sha 27858421…; adjudicator enforces restriction == pre-registered 15d92935… exactly, selftest gained a restriction-drift red world), amendment posted on the pre-reg BEFORE stage 2, launchers repointed. No read changes. Preflight relaunched 16:43Z with the extended map, running at close.

Next: queue_cli.py next boundaries: 50,000 save ~17:0xZ (routine), 60k close ~23Z → chained eval → fields panel → perf box ladder (P1 per owner adjudication) + noise-ladder stage-2/seating launches (behind the preflight green json) in the post-close window; rung-2 read script = the remaining CPU cell before those reads. Chained work armed (run_work_next).

Previous update 2026-08-08 16:06–16:1xZ (real date -u) — tick (babysit): routine green; quiet tick after the frame-mining work session.

Status (16:06Z babysit exit 0): box molmo2_ar60k LIVE + healthy: step 48,660/60,000, probe 6.58@48,500 flat in the 6.40–6.87 band (last four evals 6.58/6.62/6.58 — 1.63 under the 8.21 kill bar, ×3 never armed), loss 2.78, 2.19 s/step (22.1 steps/min window rate), vram 73.84 no new peak, all 4 GPUs 52–84% util. 50,000 save boundary ~17:07Z (falls to the chained work session), ~6.9 h to the 60k close (~23Z). Local GPU idle-by-design (perf ladder waits for the post-close window).

Steering: none new — read surfaced only our own 16:05Z lit-slice post; history -n 5 shows no new reactions beyond the already-recorded 👍×2 on the 15:25Z answers. P1 relative-bound adjudication still pending with the owner.

Done: babysit + Discord poll only; no boundary crossed since the 16:05Z status line, so no new post (noise discipline). Queue validate green depth 5 (15 open); run_work_next already armed at 16:05 by the closing work session — chained work session picks up the 50k boundary and the CPU-side queue.

Next: chained work session: CPU-side queue items through the GPU-busy window, 50,000 save ~17:07Z routine check; 60k close ~23Z → chained eval → fields panel → perf box ladder (P1 per owner adjudication) + noise-ladder stage 2 in the post-close window.

Previous update 2026-08-08 15:28–16:0xZ (real date -u) — work session (bounded): the meta-report’s frame-mining stage EXECUTED end-to-end in the GPU-quiet window — the owner’s “ambiguous frames” found automatically, and the report’s central question answered early: the subgoal gain does NOT concentrate on them. Standing lit slice landed the null’s interpretive frame same-session.

Status (babysits 15:29/15:5x/16:0xZ, exit 0): box **molmo2_ar60k LIVE

• healthy**: step ~47,900/60,000, probe 6.58@47,500 flat in the 6.40–6.87 band (1.63 under the 8.21 bar, ×3 never armed), loss 2.77 falling, 2.19 s/step, vram 73.84 no new peak; 50,000 save boundary ~16:5xZ, ~7.3 h to the 60k close (~23Z). Local GPU: 12-min embed unit (fontaine-framemining-embed) ran and exited clean; idle again for the post-23Z perf ladder.

Steering: none new (poll clear at both babysits; owner 👍-acked both 15:25Z answers). P1 relative-bound adjudication still pending.

Done (this session, post): the fieldcond-subgoal-meta-report frame-mining stage, instrument to verdict same-session: (1) frame_mining.py landed (embed / mine / sheet; check.py 500 green) — 17,204 core panel frames embedded with the frozen Gemma-4 E2B tower = AR-100k’s own frozen eye (alignment oracle vs the banked npz every row, actions included); (2) within-dataset NN mining banked (analysis__framemining_ar100k_k4l2.json + flagged npz + a 12-pair contact sheet that IS the owner’s ask — cylinder mid-place vs placed, mug pre/post-grasp, chess boards); (3) concentration read (pinned pre-execution): clean NULL — flagged−rest Δ_oracle −0.003 [CI −0.205, +0.176], ρ −0.01 on 14,064 frames; gain flat across aliasing except ~zero on the least-aliased decile. Story for the report: the subgoal slot is a uniform prior, not a disambiguator; the +29% aliased-frame error floor (miner validated, ρ 0.41 vs baseline MAE) is the #11 history-arm prize. Ideas #6/#11 hooks + queue amendment landed. Then the standing lit slice (papers page same-session per the permanent rule: conditioning-shortcuts, 2602.24143 + 2605.20856): the flat gain has a published family — “robust skills, brittle grounding” (conditioning consumed as a coarse prior; compositional holdout 44%→0%; 10k→100k demos buys ~nothing) and DISC’s task-state entanglement mechanism + structural-decoupling fix. Missing cell for our slot named: a subgoal-swap sensitivity read (presence −0.29 / channel +0.043 / CONTENT = the open triangle) — meta-report open-questions candidate. #6/#17 hooks landed.

Next: queue_cli.py next boundaries: 50,000 save ~16:5xZ (routine), 60k close ~23Z → chained eval → fields panel → perf box ladder + noise-ladder stage 2 in the post-close window; the meta-report composes the banked mining artifacts with the fields numbers after that. Chained work armed (run_work_next).

Previous update 2026-08-08 15:23–15:4xZ (real date -u) — tick (babysit): run healthy; and a SECOND missed-steering catch this day — two owner questions (14:40Z + 14:49Z) had scrolled past the cursor unanswered during the perf-exec window; found via history, both answered from code this tick (~45 min latency).

Status (15:2xZ babysit exit 0): box molmo2_ar60k LIVE + healthy: step 47,540/60,000, probe 6.58@47,500 flat in the 6.40–6.87 band (1.63 under the 8.21 bar, ×3 never armed), loss 2.786 falling, 2.21 s/step, vram 73.84 no new peak; ~7.5 h to the 60k close (~23Z). Local GPU idle-by-design (perf ladder waits for the box’s post-23Z window). Queue validate green depth 5 (15 open).

Steering (two owner questions, both answered in-channel): (1) 14:40Z “is the SigLIP2→LLM connector frozen? vision-lr or text-lr?” — answered: connector (2×2 attn-pool + gated image_projector, bijou/molmo2/vision.py) is inside backbone.vision → --backbone-vision-lr’s group (encoders/molmo2.py:447); the 60k run passes no vision-lr, so tower AND connector are frozen (text trunk 2e-5 + head 1e-4 train). (2) 14:49Z “40k report: headline chunk_mae 6.008 vs Q2 true-outcome MAE 5.877 — what’s the first conditioned on?” — answered: same single TRUE-label-conditioned pass; Q2 is a bucketing of the same scores, not a counterfactual (eval/cli.py:1404; unlabeled frames render no outcome bracket = unconditioned marginal, interface.py:456). 6.008 = frame-weighted pool over all 17,204 frames {success 5.877, partial 6.315, failure 6.894, unlabeled 6.290}; the gap is bucket composition, not a conditioning delta (the forced-success counterfactual is Q3). P1 relative-bound adjudication still pending with the owner.

Done: babysit + 2 code-grounded answers posted; conversational window held with a monitor (no further owner replies by close). Process note: this is the day’s second cursor-slip — the read-cursor moves on any session’s poll, but a heads-down session can read without handling. history at every tick is the safety net; a harness-level unacked-owner-message guard is worth an idea entry.

Next: 50,000 save ~16:5xZ (routine), 60k close ~23Z → chained eval → fields panel → perf box ladder (P1 in/out per owner adjudication) + noise-ladder stage 2 in the post-close window. Chained work session armed (run_work_next) — queue has CPU-side items and the box is busy.

Previous update 2026-08-08 14:0x–15:3xZ (real date -u) — work session EXTENDED by owner steering (14:04Z + 14:10Z mid-close): the perf pass-1 execution ran same-session at owner prio. Net: branch built + bitwise-oracled green, one-step parity executed (one honest gate FAIL, owned), a real --activation-checkpointing CUDA bug found before it could crash a box launch, and the bench ladder relocated to the box’s true recipe after the local single-GPU form proved structurally OOM.

Status (15:2xZ): box molmo2_ar60k LIVE + healthy: step ~47,540/60,000, 47,500 boundary judged routine PASS (probe 6.58@47,500, flat in the 6.40–6.87 band, 1.63 under the 8.2075 bar, ×3 never armed), loss 2.786 falling, 2.21 s/step, vram 73.84 no new peak; ~7.6 h to the 60k close (~23Z). Local GPU free again (parity-only unit exited 15:04Z).

Steering (mid-session, all handled): 14:04Z “why training only?” — answered (decode byte-anchors + the win is training-side); 14:10Z “scope good; prio training speed with clear benchmarks; what’s on the local GPU?” — answered (idle) and executed: molmo2-perf-pass1-exec ran immediately. 15:0xZ P1 adjudication pending with the owner: the one-step loss bound failed as banked (8.70e-3 abs vs frozen 1e-3; = 5.1e-4 relative at init-scale loss 16.9 — my calibration flaw, owned in-channel). Default per frozen rules: P1 dropped; owner may approve a relative-bound amendment before the box ladder.

Done (this block, commits 410e1aa + 553aae1): branch perf-pass1 (P1-only 00cdafe, full 22e8148, check.py 500 green at both, pushed); bitwise oracle GREEN 118/118 hashes (perf_pass1_bitwise_oracle.py, HEAD vs branch: logits, loss, wte both regimes, every param grad — P3a/P3b/P4 value-identity proved); one-step parity executed locally (grad-norm PASS rel 8.1e-3, cuDNN fwd+bwd no crash — expectation 4 holds at one step; loss bound FAIL as above); single-GPU full-recipe bench proven structurally OOM (unsharded AdamW states → 78.2/79.18 GiB by step 2 at ANY batch — chunked backward makes activations batch-invariant, receipts in 5 launch-round logs); act-ckpt CUDA bug found + filed on idea #20 (checkpoint recompute escapes the sdpa_kernel pin → backend mismatch abort; the review’s lineage-flip rec had a latent box crash; prerequisite fix named); box-recipe ladder launcher landed (box/perf_pass1_bench_box_ddp4.sh, supersedes the transfer smoke). Babysits green throughout; 47,500 boundary PASS posted.

Next: queue_cli.py next boundaries: 50,000 save ~16:5xZ (routine), 60k close ~23Z → chained eval → fields panel → then the post-close GPU window runs the perf box ladder (needs the perf-pass1 worktree on the box — prereq in the launcher header; P1 in or out per the owner’s adjudication) and noise-ladder stage 2. Every GPU launch via run_detached.sh.

Previous update 2026-08-08 13:49–14:2xZ (real date -u) — work session (bounded): queue head finished — the molmo2 perf pass-1 pre-reg is FINALIZED (not just drafted: nothing waited on data), execution queued as the new head with its bench window open pre-23Z; then the standing lit slice landed a papers page that turns the owner’s ambiguous-frames ask into a mining protocol.

Status (14:0xZ babysit ×3 this session): box **molmo2_ar60k LIVE

• healthy**: step 45,440/60,000, loss 2.7932 (falling), 2.184 s/step, vram 73.84 no new peak; probe 6.70@45,000 — inside the 6.40–6.87 band, 1.50 under the 8.2075 kill bar, ×3 rule never armed; ~8.8 h to the 60k close (~23Z) + chained panel eval. Local idle-by-design (1×H100 free — the perf bench’s window when the exec item runs).

Steering: none new (poll clear at every babysit; 13:21Z item already queued + acked last tick — and this session’s lit slice fed its frame-mining stage, see Done).

Done (this session): (1) perf pass-1 pre-reg FINALIZED (commit 4ca270c, post): S-bundle pinned from a HEAD re-audit — P1 suffix sdpa→cuDNN training-only (decode keeps the HEAD dispatcher so every banked eval byte-anchor survives; parity bounds + the pytorch#122695 backward-crash gate frozen), P2 windowed vram peak (lifetime field keeps its semantics — no tooling breaks), P3a–c sync removals (device assert / branchless wte with its 60 MB cost flagged honestly / mask-mul chunked losses, mean-form anchors untouched), P4 embed clone drop (bitwise-grads oracle); bench ladder A/B/C 320 steps on the local H100, frozen decision rules (≥5% lands post-evals), expectations banked, ≤3 GPU-h; execution split to molmo2-perf-pass1-exec (bench allowed pre-23Z branch-only; landing gated post-60k + evals). (2) Lit slice (commit 015a4be, papers page, 2605.14712 + 2605.14598): observation aliasing — a theorem (conditioning strictly lowers the reactive loss floor on aliased frames), the published 9%→45.8% conditioning gap, and an NN-divergence frame-mining protocol now pinned into the meta-report queue item (central chart: does our subgoal-conditioning delta concentrate on mined ambiguous frames?); idea #6/#11 hooks; retroactive index row for the loss+mask page. Blog built + Space pushed ×2 (all links 200); Discord posts ×2; queue validate green (depth 5, 15 open).

Next: queue_cli.py next → molmo2-perf-pass1-exec (gpu-local, ≤3 GPU-h; bench may run pre-23Z branch-only on the idle local H100). Boundaries: 47,500 save ~15:1xZ (routine unless the probe breaks the band upward), 60k close ~23Z (chained eval → fields panel armed + attach-chain repoint decision); noise-ladder rung-2 execution opens post-23Z. Every GPU launch via run_detached.sh.

Previous update 2026-08-08 13:36–13:5xZ (real date -u) — tick (babysit): 45,000 save boundary judged — routine PASS; and a missed-steering catch: the owner’s 13:21Z message was read-but-unhandled (the work session’s cursor moved past it but closed on the perf review) — found via history, queued + acknowledged this tick.

Status (13:4xZ): box molmo2_ar60k LIVE + healthy (babysit exit 0, held in-session through the boundary): step 45,000/60,000, probe 6.70@45,000 — back inside the 6.40–6.87 oscillation band (6.40@43.5k → 6.54@44k → 6.87@44.5k → 6.70@45k), 1.50 under the 8.2075 kill bar, ×3 rule never armed; loss ~2.83 (oscillating, trend down), 2.18 s/step, vram 73.84 no new peak, all 4 GPUs ~100%; ~9.1 h to the 60k close (~23Z) + chained panel eval. Local idle-by-design.

Steering (13:21Z, mcobzarenco — caught this tick): queue a consolidated chart-led meta-report on field conditioning + all aux-subgoal idea work; don’t title such pages “visual report” — charts/visual aids are the default treatment; include specific episode frames comparing the effect of subgoal conditioning, especially frames where the right action is ambiguous from the image alone (start-vs-end indistinguishable, goal not visible from the parked position). Disposition: queued as fieldcond-subgoal-meta-report (CPU; natural slot after the 60k close + fields panel so it carries those numbers; frame-mining can start earlier), acknowledged in-channel 13:4xZ, standing charts memory amended with the no-“visual-report”-title + ambiguous-frames preferences.

Done (this tick): 13:21Z steering caught + queued + acked (facts above); 45,000 boundary judged routine PASS (probe fell back to 6.70, posted in-channel); babysit ×2 green; queue validate green (depth 5, 15 open); run_work_next re-armed.

Next: chained work session → CPU heads: cleancand pre-reg draft / molmo2-perf-fix-prereg draft / meta-report frame-mining. Boundaries: 47,500 save ~15:1xZ (routine unless the probe breaks the band upward), 60k close ~23Z (chained eval → fields panel armed + attach-chain repoint decision); noise-ladder rung-2 execution + perf pass-1 bench open after 23Z. Every GPU launch via run_detached.sh.*

Previous update 2026-08-08 12:58–13:3xZ (real date -u) — work session (bounded): two majors shipped — the noise-ladder rung-2 pre-reg FINALIZED off the queue head (stage 0+1 executed on banked data, floor F=6, routing map committed), then owner steering 13:09Z mid-session pivoted the back half into a molmo2 perf/memory deep review, shipped same session with two measured kernel gaps.

Status (13:3xZ babysit ×4 this session): box **molmo2_ar60k LIVE

• healthy**: step 44,580/60,000, loss 2.8048 (falling), 2.195 s/step, vram 73.84 no new peak; probe oscillating 6.40–6.87 since 43.5k (latest 6.87@44,500), 1.34 under the 8.2075 kill bar, ×3 rule never armed; ~9.4 h to endpoint (~23Z) + chained panel eval. Local idle-by-design (agents used it for ~0 GPU-h microbenches).

Steering (13:09Z, mcobzarenco): prioritize a deep review of molmo2 code for training speed + memory at low complexity cost (copies/in-place, attention kernels, static-vs-dynamic shapes) + shape-annotate molmo2 tensor args. Disposition: executed same session — acknowledged in-channel 13:1xZ, review shipped (post + summary post), annotations landed on bijou/molmo2/{model,text,vision}.py, pass-1 fix pre-reg queued (molmo2-perf-fix-prereg).

Done (this session, commits 135f9ef + the review commit): (1) noise-ladder rung-2 pre-reg finalized — noise_ladder_stage01.py (oracles a–d GREEN, one caught a real rounding bug in the at-line check): stage-0 split-half floor F=6 (n=6 bin 1.5675 vs null-5th 1.5965 marginal + n=7 clear; n=4–5 fail — recorded honestly), 97 qualifying datasets (40.8% of panel core rows, 6,014 complement rows), 88/97 route away from ticket 33, map sha 15d92935…; instrument oracle list pinned after a bijou.eval HEAD audit; execution entry queued (≤4 GPU-h, opens after the 60k close). (2) molmo2 perf review — three parallel lenses, findings incl.: suffix attention lands on the MATH sdpa backend (13×/layer measured, ~5–10% of step), ViT eager einsum 13×/block vs SDPA-flash, hand-rolled RMSNorm 10×, --activation-checkpointing oracle-pinned but absent from the 40k/60k launchers (~2.4–2.8 GiB/sample lever), full-vocab CE fp32-upcasts pad rows, vram “creep” partly a never-reset lifetime peak metric; static-shapes verdict: keep dynamic (+5.09% measured padding ceiling, suffix uncapped). (3) Lit slice (standing allocation) — same-session papers page loss + mask: CCE (2411.09009, ICLR’25 oral) banked as the CE escalation ladder with its entry condition; FlexAttention banked as the dense-mask successor, gated on compile (#2b) — both fed into the perf-fix queue item + ideas.md.

Next: queue_cli.py next → cleancand pre-reg draft (CPU) / molmo2-perf-fix-prereg draft (CPU); boundaries: 45,000 save ~13:4xZ (routine unless probe re-climbs past the bar), 60k close ~23Z (chained eval → fields panel armed + attach-chain repoint decision), noise-ladder rung-2 execution + perf pass-1 bench open after 23Z. Every GPU launch via run_detached.sh.*

Previous update 2026-08-08 12:54–13:0xZ (real date -u) — tick (babysit): 42,500 save-boundary gate judged — PASS; the probe tail bent as the rewarmup anchor predicted. Tick ran ~40 min late: driver outage 11:41–12:54Z on usage-credit exhaustion (429s; 4 tick attempts + the chained work session failed), resolved by credit-window rollover — the box run was never at risk.

Status (12:5xZ): box molmo2_ar60k LIVE + healthy (babysit exit 0): step 43,680/60,000, loss 2.8041 (falling, −0.025 since last sample), 2.237 s/step (25.8 steps/min window), ~10.1 h to endpoint (~23Z) + chained panel eval. Gate judgment (the deferred 42,500 boundary): PASS — probe 6.75@41,500 → 6.73@42,000 → 6.73@42,500 → 6.77@43,000 → 6.40@43,500; the rising tail plateaued then broke downward, 1.8 under the 8.2075 kill bar; the ×3 rule never armed. vram peak 73.49 → 73.84 (bumps at 41,780 and 42,940, neither at a save/probe boundary, flat since): judged longest-batch high-water creep, not a leak; 4.16 under the 78 gate — flag is a sustained climb, not step bumps. Local idle-by-design.

Steering: none new (read = 2 harness alerts only; history -n 5 = own posts + alerts, no new reactions).

Done (this tick): outage root-caused from session logs (all four 12:1x–12:4x tick failures + the 11:41Z work death are API 429 “out of usage credits”, 0 tokens served; nothing box-side to fix — noted that train + chained endpoint eval are box-side and immune); 42,500 gate judged PASS (facts above); vram creep investigated via remote jsonl scan (step-resolved peak trace); consolidated in-channel post (gate + outage + vram); queue validate green (depth 3, 13 open); run_work_next re-armed — the credit-killed work session never drafted the noise-ladder pre-reg, so it stays queue head.

Next: chained work session → noise-ladder per-dataset pre-reg draft (CPU). Next boundary 45,000 (~12:5xZ+50 min ≈ 13:4xZ); routine unless the probe re-climbs. At the 60k close (~23Z): chained eval → fields panel (armed) + attach-chain repoint decision. Every GPU launch goes through run_detached.sh. If credit 429s recur, expect the same alert pattern — sessions self-heal on window rollover.

Previous update 2026-08-08 11:38–11:5xZ (real date -u) — tick (babysit): molmo2_ar60k HEALTHY, third post-relaunch check; probe tail still rising inside the pre-registered window; no new steering; queue green, run_work_next armed.

Status (11:4xZ): box molmo2_ar60k LIVE + healthy (babysit exit 0): step 41,720/60,000, loss 2.8295, 2.195 s/step (30.9 steps/min window), vram 73.49 no new peak; probe trajectory 6.05@40,500 → 6.37@41,000 → 6.75@41,500 — rising ~+0.33/500 steps but 1.46 under the 8.2075 kill bar; linear extrapolation wouldn’t touch the bar before ~43,500 and the rewarmup anchor says the tail should bend first — the 42,000 probe is the tell. 42,500 save boundary lands ~12:05–12:1xZ, at this session’s hard-kill stamp — the gate judgment stays with the next tick (~12:1xZ), which will have both the 42,000 probe and the boundary in hand. ~11.1 h to endpoint (~22:4xZ) + chained panel eval. Local idle-by-design.

Steering: none new (read empty; history -n 5 = our own posts, no new reactions; the 10:49Z 👍 stands recorded).

Done (this tick): babysit green (facts above, judged healthy — rising probe tail explicitly weighed, not just pattern-matched to “under the bar”); queue validate green (depth 3, 13 open); run_work_next re-armed (box busy + CPU queue: noise-ladder per-dataset pre-reg draft at head, cleancand draft, fieldgen-accuracy at the 60k close).

Next: chained work session works the noise-ladder pre-reg draft; next tick ~12:1xZ judges the 42,500 save boundary (probe trajectory vs the 8.2075 ×3 rule — if 42,000 still climbs at the same slope, that’s the anomaly flag even under the bar). At the 60k close (~23Z): chained eval → fields panel (armed) + attach-chain repoint decision. Every GPU launch goes through run_detached.sh.

Previous update 2026-08-08 11:19–11:4xZ (real date -u) — work session (bounded): the owner’s SnapFlow visual-report ask (09:22Z) shipped — the whole #12 thread consolidated into one chart-led page (golden-ticket treatment, five charts, every number from banked jsons, zero GPU-h), live on the Space and posted in-channel; posts index backfilled after a 7-post drift.

Status (11:3xZ babysit): box molmo2_ar60k LIVE + healthy: step 41,640/60,000, loss 2.827, 2.194 s/step (26.9 steps/min window), vram 73.49 no new peak; probe trajectory 6.05@40,500 → 6.37@41,000 → 6.75@41,500 — rising but 1.46 under the 8.2075 kill bar, and the kill window (opens 41,500, ×3 sustained rule) is now live: the 42,500 save boundary ~12:1xZ next tick is the first real gate judgment. ~11.2 h to endpoint (~22:5xZ) + chained panel eval. Local idle-by-design.

Steering: none new (read at both babysits surfaced only our own posts). This session IS the 09:22Z snapflow-report steering item’s execution.

Done (this session, commit 17fbdbe):

• SnapFlow visual report (post, all links curl-verified 200): endpoint ladder, cost-vs-quality Pareto scatter (log latency), draws-collapse curves (teacher −1.258 vs student −0.236 vs AR −0.145), per-step horizon read, ftrig before/after dumbbells. snapflow_report_charts.py renders all five from the frozen jsons (snapflow analysis, microbench set, AR draws10 readout, ftrig evals) — nothing re-computed; check.py 500 green; eyeball pass done on every chart (label collisions fixed).
• posts/index.md backfilled — 7 landed posts had drifted off the index; babysit.py exit-code footer reworded (read like live counts, confused a reader).
• Queue: snapflow-visual-report → done; validate green depth 3 (13 open).

Next: queue_cli.py next → noise-ladder per-dataset pre-reg draft (CPU); next tick ~12:1xZ judges the 42,500 save boundary (probe trajectory vs the 8.2075 ×3 rule — the rising rewarmup tail is the thing to watch). At the 60k close (~23Z): chained eval → refresh_ctrl.sh → fields panel (armed) + attach-chain repoint decision. Every GPU launch goes through run_detached.sh.

Previous update 2026-08-08 11:17–11:2xZ (real date -u) — tick (babysit): molmo2_ar60k HEALTHY, second post-relaunch check; no new steering; queue green, run_work_next armed.

Status (11:1xZ): box molmo2_ar60k LIVE + healthy (babysit exit 0): step 41,140/60,000, loss 2.861, 2.19 s/step (27.5 steps/min window), vram 73.49 no new peak; probes 6.05@40,500 → 6.37@41,000 — both well under the 8.2075 kill bar and inside the pre-registered rewarmup-transient window (kill line opens 41,500; first boundary judgment at the 42,500 async save ~12:1xZ — next tick). Loss +0.07 sample-to-sample = rewarmup noise (LR rewarming on schedule). ~11.5 h to endpoint (~22:5xZ) + chained panel eval. Local idle-by-design.

Steering: none new (read surfaced only our own 11:15Z accuracy-by-field post; history -n 5 shows no new reactions — the 10:49Z 👍 stands recorded).

Done (this tick): babysit green (facts above, judged healthy); queue validate green (depth 4, 14 open); run_work_next re-armed (box busy + CPU items queued: snapflow visual report, cleancand draft, noise-ladder finalization, fieldgen-accuracy prep).

Next: chained work session works the CPU queue head; next tick ~11:4xZ judges the 42,500 save boundary (first real gate check: probe trajectory vs the 8.2075 ×3 rule). At the 60k close (~23Z): chained eval → fields panel (armed) + attach-chain repoint decision. Every GPU launch goes through run_detached.sh.

Previous update 2026-08-08 10:54–11:2xZ (real date -u) — work session (bounded): the owner’s accuracy-by-field ask (10:08Z) executed as a correction + a found bug + zero new GPU-hours — the AR-100k table already existed in the banked panel (my 10:49Z in-channel claim was wrong; the queued ~1.5 GPU-h local run is cancelled), molmo2’s missing table root-caused to a silent isinstance bug (narrated pass never rode molmo2 checkpoints), fixed + regression-tested, and the 60k-endpoint fields eval fully armed (pre-reg note + self-guarding launcher + prepared babysit entry).

Status (11:1xZ): box molmo2_ar60k LIVE + healthy (babysit 11:13Z): step 41,020/60,000, loss 2.79, window 25.6 steps/min, probe 6.37@41,000 — the rewarmup-window transient the anchors predicted (kill bar 8.2075 opens at 41,500, judged at the 42,500 save boundary ~12:1xZ); vram 73.49 no new peak; endpoint ~23:0x–23:5xZ + chained panel eval. Local idle-by-design (next claim: cleancand or noise-ladder drafts; the fieldgen local run is cancelled, below).

Steering: none new this session (read empty at both babysits; the 10:49Z 👍 stands recorded). This session IS the 10:08Z steering item’s execution.

Done (this session, commits 2f4d575 + docs):

• Correction: the banked AR-100k greedy panels ALREADY carry the accuracy-by-field block — the narrated +fields arm rides automatically on aux-trained gemma checkpoints: holding 0.807 · progress MAE 0.062 · event 0.878 · visible 0.319 (~9k judge-labeled frames, panel_k4l2; curated_v0 panel: 0.814/0.063/0.879/0.316). Narration-cost companion: +fields 5.8565 vs base 5.8026 (+0.054). AR-100k half closed with banked data — no run.
• Bug found + fixed (2f4d575): BijouPolicy gated the narrated pass (and --generate) on the Gemma CONCRETE (isinstance(decoder, ARBackboneDecoder)); Molmo2ARDecoder is an ARSuffixDecoder sibling ⇒ aux-trained molmo2 checkpoints silently reported no fields — the molmo2 40k panel’s all-None accuracy block next to 8,596 labeled frames is exactly this. Gate moved to the scaffold; prompt bytes unchanged on every banked read (generate_bracket=True recorded at save; override () ≡ None at render). 2 CPU regression tests incl. a real narrated decode on the tiny molmo2 fixture; check.py 500 green.
• 60k fields eval armed: pre-reg note posted (post, record-only, ~3.5 GPU-h ≤ 6 gate), eval_box_molmo2_60k_fields_panel.sh (self-guards: post-fix checkout grep, chained-eval-json present, plan sha, GPUs free; mechanized read-3 oracle: base bijou@60000 must equal the chained json exactly), prepared babysit entry molmo2_60k_fields. Tonight’s chained eval stays as-launched (charter: never sync box code under a live run) — narrated-arm-free and byte-comparable to the 40k panel, which the paired read wants.
• reports.md: AR-100k accuracy block surfaced + molmo2 missing-by-bug note; queue item rewritten (class → gpu-box, boundary at the 60k close).

Next: queue_cli.py next → 60k babysits every ~30 min (42.5k save-boundary judgment ~12:1xZ is the first real gate check); at the 60k close (~23Z): chained eval → refresh_ctrl.sh → fields panel (armed) alongside the attach-chain repoint decision. CPU queue: snapflow visual report (owner), cleancand draft, noise-ladder finalization. Every GPU launch goes through run_detached.sh.

Previous update 2026-08-08 10:52–10:5xZ (real date -u) — tick (babysit): molmo2_ar60k HEALTHY at first post-relaunch tick; owner 👍 on the eval-conditioning reply recorded; two dead straggler processes from the closed rung-(b) chain reaped.

Status (10:5xZ): box molmo2_ar60k LIVE + healthy (babysit exit 0): step 40,480/60,000, loss 2.767, 2.249 s/step (20.1 steps/min window ≈ cumulative), vram 73.49 = the known resume-load transient, no new peak; util 65–100% across the 4 GPUs; ~12.2 h to endpoint (~23:0xZ). First probe lands at 40,500 (not yet fired); kill line opens at 41,500, judged at the 42,500 async-save boundary ~11:4xZ — next tick’s judgment. Local idle-by-design (rung (b) closed).

Steering: owner 👍 reaction on the 10:49Z relaunch + eval-conditioning post (history -n 5; agreement — TRUE-label conditioning read + accuracy-by-field queue plan stand as stated). No new messages; read surfaced only the driver-guard straggler notice (handled below).

Done (this tick): babysit green (facts above, judged healthy — loss +0.02 sample-to-sample is rewarmup-segment noise, LR rewarming on schedule); killed driver-guard stragglers pids 3287045/3287048 (a tail -f + ugrep watch pipe on the CLOSED rung-(b) preflight log — 2 h old, watching nothing); queue validate green (depth 4, 14 open); run_work_next re-armed (box busy + CPU items queued: fieldgen-accuracy prep, snapflow visual report, cleancand escalation draft, noise-ladder finalization).

Next: chained work session works the CPU queue head (fieldgen-accuracy prep can also claim the free local GPU per its item); 60k babysits every ~30 min — 42.5k save boundary + probe trajectory are the first real gate checks. Every GPU launch goes through run_detached.sh.

Previous update 2026-08-08 08:36–11:2xZ (real date -u) — work session (bounded, owner-active): rung (b) executed end-to-end to a table-cost close, the molmo2 60k continuation launched (owner GO) through a crash→root-cause→fix→relaunch cycle, and four owner asks delivered same-session (visual report, chunk_mae_success one-off, reply-parsing fix, rig datasets folded into the 60k mix).

Status (11:1xZ):

• box: molmo2_ar60k LIVE (unit fontaine-molmo2-60k, relaunch 10:28:43Z after the 10:15Z first-step crash): step 40,360+ at last check, loss 2.80, LR rewarming on schedule, util ~95%; banner gates all green (880 datasets incl. both SO101 rig sets, resume + fresh-seed lines, re-homed 37 step counters = the fix firing). vram peak 73.49 = resume-load transient (parent 67.13), gate 71→78 w/ watch anchor. Endpoint ~22:3x–23:0xZ + chained panel eval; probe kill 8.2075 ×3 after 41.5k.
• local: idle since ~10:15Z by pre-reg verdict — the rung-(b) chain closed at table cost (below); next local claim = fieldgen-accuracy eval prep or the cleancand escalation.

Steering (owner active 08:42–10:08Z, seven messages, all answered in-channel):

• 08:42Z golden-ticket visual report → delivered 09:1xZ (post, 5 charts; owner: “Amazing! Good report”); more-visuals preference banked.
• 08:49Z molmo2 +20k proposal → discussion posted 09:00Z → GO 09:04Z (“let’s prio the 60k run”) → pre-reg + launch (below). Fresh-shuffle-seed rule banked (memory + already mechanized).
• 09:07/09:11Z chunk_mae_success one-off → delivered 10:4xZ: clean panel read (identical rows) — success slice narrows the gap (+0.173 vs +0.205 overall) but doesn’t flip; wandb probe flip exists but is composition-confounded, flagged.
• 09:22Z SnapFlow visual report → queued; reply-parsing question → fix landed (reply-reference + edited markers, 5 oracles).
• 10:06Z rig datasets into the mix → in the relaunch (amendment 1); 10:08Z eval-conditioning question → answered with the TRUE-label default + --condition-override outcome=success counterfactual; accuracy-by-field eval queued (prep item).
• Process slip owned in-channel: the 09:04–09:11Z messages sat unread ~50 min (a background poll-loop’s output was never read); caught at the 10:02Z babysit.

Done (this session, commits 4cd819c..+):

• #6 rung (b) EXECUTED → CLOSED at table cost (4cd819c launch, close post 2026-08-08-subgoal-draws-stage1-close.md): preflight live oracles ALL GREEN (draws-0 bon+narr bit-exact vs a fresh matched-composition q4 self run; forced-empty bit-exact vs the banked emptyhint — amendment-1 lesson mechanized in subgoal_draws_live_oracles.py, 14-branch selftest); stage-1 bar (a) FAIL 20/60 → frozen rule: no arms. Finding: 11.5% of T=1.0 sampled subgoal draws derail into budget-truncated gibberish; diversity real (97%), SC never picks a derailed draw (0/60, median rank 9/9). ~1.6 of 6 GPU-h. Escalation queued (cleancand).
• molmo2 60k continuation (6f08e48 pre-reg + launcher, 2c10d96 fix): first launch died at first step (state_steps is on cpu, fused AdamW) — root-caused to the async-save CPU-tagged ZeRO-1 payload’s shard-load path, fixed (rehome_fused_step_tensors + GPU regression test reproducing the crash in the ZRO shape), amendment 1 posted, relaunched 10:28:43Z with rig datasets in the mix. Babysit caught the death in 6 min.
• Golden-ticket visual report (143bdde): 5 SVGs from banked JSONs (chart script + dataviz procedure), Space-live; noise-ladder rung-2 pre-reg DRAFT posted (split-half reliability floor on the banked 2,458×64 stack, CPU-first).
• Harness: discord.py reply-reference + edit rendering (5 oracles); babysit watcher self-match class noted (monitor tail matching pgrep via the log filename).
• check.py green at every commit (491→498 tests).

Next: queue_cli.py next → 60k babysits every ~30 min (probe kill live from 41.5k; async-save first-boundary check at 42.5k ~11:4xZ); then CPU queue: fieldgen-accuracy prep (owner), snapflow visual report (owner), idea6 cleancand escalation draft, idea1 noise-ladder draft finalization. #4 attach chain opens at the 60k endpoint (~23Z) per the owner’s priority + repoint decision rule. run_work_next armed. Every GPU launch goes through run_detached.sh.

Previous update 2026-08-08 08:27–08:3xZ (real date -u) — tick (babysit): no live runs (registry declared-empty, correct). Owner’s 08:02Z message was half-unanswered — caught and fixed in-tick: the Molmo2 #17 eval report HTML + the three state-drop report files had never been uploaded to the Space (404s the owner flagged); all six missing files pushed, reports.md gained Molmo2 + golden-ticket sections, full 58-link audit = all 200, in-channel reply posted 08:33Z.

Status (08:3xZ): box + local both idle-by-design since ~07:50/08:15Z, pending the next pre-registered launches (#4 attach screen behind the owner-steer window; idea6 rung-(b) preflight local). No babysit run — registry empty with declared reason.

Steering: owner 08:02Z (“Molmo2 eval report on reports.html? state-drop links broken”) — the 08:19Z reply covered only the 08:08Z follow-ups question; this message is now ANSWERED 08:33Z with the fix live. No new messages or reactions this tick (read empty; history -n 5 checked).

Done (this tick): reports.html repaired end-to-end — root cause was ad-hoc per-session report uploads (page indexed files never pushed): uploaded molmo2 endpoint panel HTML + endpoint analysis JSON, statedrop 2×HTML + JSON, goldenticket stage-1 JSON; reports.md new sections (Molmo2 trunk @40k, golden-ticket screen); blog built + Space pushed; all 58 reports.html links curl-verified 200; Discord reply. Queue validate green (depth 1 w/ declared reason, 11 open); run_work_next confirmed armed (08:22).

Next: chained work session → idea1-noise-ladder-perdataset-prereg-draft (queue head), then idea6 rung-(b) preflight launcher (local GPU free); #4 attach screen at the owner-steer window (box free). Every GPU launch goes through run_detached.sh.

Previous update 2026-08-08 05:22–08:4xZ (real date -u) — work session (4-h chained): THREE BOUNDARIES CLOSED IN-SESSION — #19 molmo2 draws arm (all expectations met → leaderboard row 9 + microbench cost cells → mtime caveat retired) and the golden-ticket screen CLOSED: R3 INTERESTING (mean-of-top-10 5.1847/1.3831, the best chunk AND first numbers measured on this panel, record-only per pre-reg). Plus: lit slice (steering III) whose SDN selector idea was executed same-session as a record-only read (flow null / AR small), the stage-3 close-out read landed oracle-green BEFORE the data, and a babysit driver-cgroup false-positive class fixed.

Status (babysit 08:2xZ; no live runs — both landed):

• box: idle since 07:50Z (#19 draws arm DONE 07:22Z rc=0, ~10 ≤ 24 GPU-h; microbench rode the landing window 07:27–07:50Z rc=0). Next box claim: #4 attach screen (K smoke ladder → F → K), behind the attachment-decision owner-steer window.
• local: idle since 08:15Z (goldenticket stage 3 DONE 08:15:39Z rc=0, 2.99 GPU-h; screen total ~5.55 ≤ 6 gate). Next local claim: idea6 rung-(b) preflight (launcher is next-session work).

Steering: owner 08:08Z — “What are all the follow ups on molmo2?” → answered 08:2xZ with the full map (attach screen next + owner-steer window, vu5k behind it + owner go, banked reads, named escalations); channel polled through close, no further reply yet. Earlier checkpoints 05:22/05:47/05:54/06:27/06:52/07:31: none.

Done (this session, commits 3a19cac..+):

• goldenticket screen CLOSED (3a19cac instrument + close commit): stage-3 read landed oracle-green pre-data; R3 INTERESTING 9× the band (5.1847/1.3831 vs banked mean-of-10 5.3645/1.4242, Δ −0.180, record-only — row-seating needs the paired follow-up folded into the queued noise-ladder pre-reg); R4a task-locality (argmin 4.4% of 792 datasets, top-10 containment ~2× null, median-2-frame caveat); R4b gain monotone in dispersion (−0.35→−1.44). Results post appended; screen ~5.55/6 GPU-h.
• #19 molmo2 draws arm CLOSED (6a18e5f): Δ_AR −0.154 [CI −0.195, −0.113] — mean-collapse replicated on a second AR trunk; 5.8492/1.9736 → row 9; execution oracles byte-green. Microbench executed on the box in the landing window (box bundle-synced first): greedy 143.8/678.1, draws10 1191.2/6291.3 ms → rows 8+9 cost cells, caveat retired.
• Lit slice closed (41460df, steering III page): 2603.11642 (path-intact condition + 1.4%/39.4% variance decomposition = the per-dataset pre-reg’s written priors; boundary artifact = panel-blind unknown of ticket 33) + 2606.14084 SDN → jerk-pick read executed same session (aa138b2): flow NULL, AR small-but-real T-monotone, molmo2 8% — family decodes stand.
• Infra: babysit driver-cgroup self-match class 3 fixed (410d7e8, pipeline-sibling grep false positive; stage 3 was verified teardown-safe in its own unit). check.py 491 green throughout; queue narratives + registry pruned at each close.

Next: queue_cli.py next → idea1-noise-ladder-perdataset-prereg-draft (OPEN — R3/R4 numbers in hand; sample-size floor + held-out confirm design are the hard parts). Then: idea6 rung-(b) preflight launcher + launch (local GPU free); #4 attach screen at the owner-steer window (box free). run_work_next armed. Every GPU launch goes through run_detached.sh.

Older entries: see the now archive — one dated page per day, verbatim.

Previous update 2026-08-08 04:00–05:2xZ (real date -u) — work session (4-h chained, ended early with the chain fully dispatched): TWO PRE-REGISTERED SCREENS READ OUT POSITIVE — molmo2 40k endpoint BEATS (→ phase-2 flow-trunk candidate) and golden-ticket R1 CONFIRM + R2 REAL (→ leaderboard row 7, stage 3 live). Plus: the endpoint chain’s dtype incident root-caused + fixed + relaunched inside ~10 min; the rung-(b) escalation lit slice; four oracle-green CPU instruments banked.

Status (babysit 05:18Z, exit 0, 2 registered runs):

• box #19 molmo2 draws10_t1 — 832/6450 rank-0 shard at 33.3 f/min, projection 12.9 ≤ 24 GPU-h gate, lands ~08:1xZ; its Δ_AR read pairs on the greedy npz banked this session.
• local #1 goldenticket stage 3 — launched 05:16:30Z (mean-of-top-10, byte-verified sha e537f4cd), in model-load at the 05:18 poll (documented startup signature, non-incident, verified past its sha+GPU guards); ~2.9 GPU-h, lands ~08:1xZ; screen budget ~5.5 of the 6 gate.

Steering: none (read at boot 04:00 and at every babysit checkpoint 04:28/04:35/04:43/05:18 — no messages, no reactions; last owner exchange 00:39Z already answered).

Done (this session, 7 commits 0401de8..e6314ed+):

• molmo2 endpoint chain: 40000/40000 reached; chained greedy eval DIED 04:16Z (float != BFloat16 — torch.where promoted mixed-dtype suffix embeds; autocast had masked it in training; tests loaded the fixture fp32) → one-line cast fix + red/green regression test (5a43b15), box synced via git bundle, chain relaunched through the #19 launcher’s pre-built greedy-if-missing clause. Greedy landed 04:53Z → frozen reads via oracle-green molmo2_endpoint_results.py (61dacb9): BEATS — 6.0079/2.1871 vs A-s0 7.7966/3.9422, paired −1.717 [CI −1.80, −1.63]; decision executes, Molmo2 = phase-2 flow-trunk candidate; leaderboard row 8
  • own-topology row; results post + Discord; weights uploaded to fontaine-checkpoints (hub-verified); endpoint probe 6.2075@40000 quoted for the vu5k amendment; babysit repointed at each phase.
• goldenticket screen: R1 CONFIRM (sd 0.82252 vs 0.0785 — 12× null; winner ticket 33) → stage 2 launched 04:24Z (winner-only npz byte-verified) → R2 read via oracle-green goldenticket_stage2_results.py (f65e6b7; provenance via report JSON — caught pre-data that –dump-predictions carries no ticket fields): REAL — complement Δ −0.924 [CI −0.985, −0.866], bigger than the probe-row delta; effect directional not norm (rank 29/64, corr −0.05); core-pooled 5.6468/1.8963 = leaderboard row 7; stage 3 launched 05:16:30Z. Results post + Discord.
• Lit slice closed (0401de8): papers/progress-from-logits.md (TOPReward + ProgVLA) + MG-Select prerequisite VERIFIED MET (correction banked on self-certainty.md) — rung-(b) escalation routing pre-mapped; SC scorer cell stands.
• CPU instruments banked: R2 read script; molmo2 endpoint read script (pre-reg drafting slip in its state-copy parenthetical found + recorded); rung-(b) stage-1 draws runner in selfsubgoal_stage1.py (b1286ca, mechanical go/no-go bars as pure tested fn); molmo2 decode-cost microbench prep (2cdc06d, retires the leaderboard cost caveat at the next pre-registered box window). check.py 491 green at close.

Next: queue_cli.py next → molmo2-decode-cost-microbench (CPU prep done; box run at the first pre-registered eval window). Boundaries: stage-3 R3/R4 + screen close-out ~08:1xZ (read script trivial: pooled vs 5.3645, ±0.02 band, record-only); #19 draws Δ_AR read ~08:1xZ (box, paired on this session’s greedy npz); idea6-subgoal-draws-execution at the first quiet local window after stage 3 (preflight = GPU-side oracles; stage-1 runner landed this session); noise-ladder pre-reg draft AFTER R3 adjudicates (deliberate: pre-reg quality needs R3/R4 numbers). run_work_next armed. Every GPU launch goes through run_detached.sh.

Previous update 2026-08-08 03:56–04:0xZ (real date -u) — tick (babysit): molmo2 REACHED 40000/40000 — polled inside the endpoint save window (known signature, non-incident); goldenticket 1792/2458 on projection 1.7 ≤ 6 gate. Quiet-green; the chained work session takes the endpoint chain + R1 adjudication.

Status (babysit 03:57Z, exit 0, 2 registered runs):

• box molmo2 AR 40k — step 40000/40000, probe 6.21@40000 (low 5.91@26500 stands, gate margin 4.93). Poll landed mid-save: gpu1 0%, loss/vram None, 15.7 steps/min halved window — the banked ~15.5-min save-window signature, NOT an incident. Save → chained greedy panel eval; endpoint chain lands ~04:1x–04:4xZ.
• local #1 goldenticket stage 1 — 1792/2458 at 100% util, window 25.1 f/min, cumulative 23.6 f/min → projected total 1.7 h ≤ 6 GPU-h gate, ~0.5 h remaining; R1 adjudication ~04:2x–04:5xZ.

Steering: none (read at 03:57 surfaced only our own 03:55 post; history -n 5 — no owner messages, no new reactions; last owner exchange 00:39Z already answered).

Done: quiet tick — babysit exit 0, both runs judged healthy (molmo2’s degenerate-looking poll adjudicated as the save-window anchor, not an anomaly); queue validate green (depth 2, 13 open); run_work_next confirmed armed (03:52); now archive roll --keep 3.

Next: chained work session (4-h budget) catches the molmo2 endpoint chain (~04:1x–04:4xZ) → molmo2-endpoint-postprocessing

• #19 draws-arm box launch, and the goldenticket R1 kill-line adjudication (~04:2x–04:5xZ) → stage 2 or close-at-null; idea6-subgoal-draws-execution (gpu-local) opens after R1 resolves, preflight = GPU-side oracles (draws-0 bit-exact at matched composition, forced-empty = plain path). Every GPU launch goes through run_detached.sh.

Previous update 2026-08-08 03:19–04:0xZ (real date -u) — work session (bounded, chained off the 03:15 tick): #6 rung (b) INSTRUMENT + READ SCRIPT LANDED, oracle-green — the CPU item the pre-reg required before any launch; execution now waits only on the #1 R1 chain + its GPU-side preflight oracles.

Status (babysit 03:20 + 03:32 + 03:50Z, exit 0, 2 registered runs):

• box molmo2 AR 40k — 39900/40000 at 03:50, loss 2.7465, 27.5 steps/min in-window, vram 67.13 ≤ 71; probe 6.30@39500 (low 5.91@26500 stands, gate margin 4.93). Endpoint minutes away → 40000 save (~15 min write) → chained greedy panel eval; endpoint chain lands ~04:1x–04:4xZ.
• local #1 goldenticket stage 1 — 1632/2458 at 100% util, window 26.4 f/min, cumulative 23.5 f/min → projected total 1.7 h ≤ 6 GPU-h gate, ~0.6 h remaining; R1 adjudication ~04:2x–04:5xZ.

Steering: none (read at boot 03:19 and at all three babysit checkpoints — no messages, no reactions).

Done (this commit): idea6-subgoal-draws-instrument CLOSED, oracle-green — bijou.eval --subgoal-mode draws: pass 1 decodes greedy + --subgoal-draws sampled candidates (T via --subgoal-temperature, draws10_t1 stable keying verbatim) off ONE shared prefill (new ARSuffixDecoder.decode_value_line, per-step chosen/mean log-probs = exact SC sufficient stats; model-level candidate-0 == full-pass byte assert); _bonsubgoal (frozen SC argmax, structurally label-blind) + _ceilsubgoal (token-F1 vs true label; label-less rows render no hint) arms in one run; --dump-subgoal-candidates table with live picks + record-only likelihood/medoid alternates; pure scorers in bijou/eval/subgoal_scoring.py (ties → lowest index); read script subgoal_draws_results.py (Δ_bon + paired bon−self vs the banked rung-(a) self npz, Δ_ceil + no-diversity/no-scorer adjudication, agreement, horizon, first_mae mirrors; --oracle selftest: planted deltas exact, degenerate CI [0,0] + falsifier, 11 abort branches green). 22 new tests incl. the REAL tiny-model decode-loop oracle-i half; check.py 489 green. Queue refilled (lit-slice-verifier-free-selection-followups, targeted at the rung-(b) escalation routing) — validate green depth 2, 13 open.

Next: queue_cli.py next → molmo2-endpoint-postprocessing (CPU, opens at the endpoint chain landing ~04:1x–04:4xZ); goldenticket R1 ~04:2x–04:5xZ gates its stage 2; idea6-subgoal-draws-execution (gpu-local) opens at the first quiet local window AFTER the R1 chain resolves — its preflight runs the GPU-side oracles (draws-0 bit-exact vs the banked self arm at matched composition, forced-empty = plain path). run_work_next re-armed. Every GPU launch goes through run_detached.sh.

Previous update 2026-08-08 03:15–03:2xZ (real date -u) — tick (babysit): quiet-green on both runs; goldenticket cumulative projection firmed to 2.1 h ≤ 6 gate (proper windows now, burst anchor holds); run_work_next confirmed armed for the R1/endpoint chain.

Status (babysit 03:15Z, exit 0, 2 registered runs):

• box molmo2 AR 40k — 38960/40k, loss 2.8206, 2.197 s/step, 27.1 steps/min in-window, vram 67.13 ≤ 71; probe 6.20@38500 (low 5.91@26500 stands, gate margin 4.93). ~0.6 h compute to 40k → 40000 save (~15 min write) → chained greedy panel eval; endpoint chain ~04:2x–04:5xZ.
• local #1 goldenticket stage 1 — 672/2458 at 100% util; window 24.1 f/min (6.6-min slice, within burst noise of the ~25 steady anchor), cumulative 19.5 f/min → projected total 2.1 h ≤ 6 GPU-h gate, ~1.5 h remaining. R1 adjudication ~04:4x–05:0xZ.

Steering: none (read + history at 03:15 — no messages, no new reactions; last owner exchange 00:39Z already answered).

Done: quiet tick — babysit exit 0, both runs judged healthy; queue validate green (depth 2, 13 open); run_work_next confirmed armed (03:13) for the chained work session (idea6-subgoal-draws-instrument is its CPU item); now archive roll --keep 3.

Next: chained work session takes idea6-subgoal-draws-instrument (CPU) through the GPU-busy window; molmo2 endpoint chain ~04:2x–04:5xZ → molmo2-endpoint-postprocessing + #19 draws arm; goldenticket R1 ~04:4x–05:0xZ gates its stage 2. Every GPU launch goes through run_detached.sh.

Previous update 2026-08-08 03:01–03:2xZ (real date -u) — work session (bounded): #6 rung (b) PRE-REGISTERED — subgoal-draws selection (pre-reg), the scorer cell settled by a targeted lit check first (Self-Certainty papers page, landed same-session per the standing rule); instrument + execution items queued behind it.

Status (babysit 03:01 + 03:09Z, exit 0, 2 registered runs):

• box molmo2 AR 40k — 38780/40k, loss 2.8012, 2.179 s/step, 26.4 steps/min in-window, vram 67.13 ≤ 71; probe 6.20@38500 (low 5.91@26500 stands, gate margin 4.93). ~0.7 h to 40k → 40000 save (~15 min write) → chained greedy panel eval; endpoint chain lands ~04:3x–05:0xZ.
• local #1 goldenticket stage 1 — 512/2458 at 100% util; clean ≥7-min window 42.3 f/min, cumulative 18.4 f/min → projected total 2.2 h ≤ 6 GPU-h gate. R1 adjudication ~04:5xZ at the cumulative band (the 03:01 degenerate-window poll was burst granularity, per anchor).

Steering: none (read at boot 03:01 and the 03:09 babysit — no messages, no reactions).

Done (this commit): #6 rung (b) pre-registered — posts/2026-08-08-prereg-subgoal-draws.md freezes 9 candidates (greedy + 8 sampled T=1, draws10_t1 seeding), primary scorer self-certainty (2502.18581: mean KL-from-uniform argmax; likelihood + medoid token-F1 record-only alternates), a record-only oracle-similarity ceiling arm bounding every scorer at this width (adjudicates no-diversity vs no-scorer if the falsifier fires), head-to-head falsifier = paired (bon − self) CI95 entirely below 0 vs the banked rung-(a) self npz, stage-1 candidates-table gate, ≤ 6 GPU-h w/ q4 fallback. Scorer lit slice + papers page landed first (MG-Select’s masked-contrast named as escalation — OOD for us without trained image dropout). ideas.md hook + idea-06 ledger entry; queue: draft item closed, idea6-subgoal-draws-instrument (CPU, queued) + idea6-subgoal-draws-execution (gpu-local, blocked behind the R1 chain) added; validate green (depth 2, 13 open). check.py 467 green; blog built + Space pushed (pre-reg + papers page 200-verified).

Next: queue_cli.py next → molmo2-endpoint-postprocessing (opens at the endpoint chain ~04:3x–05:0xZ) with the #19 draws-arm box launch beside it; idea6-subgoal-draws-instrument is the CPU item for any GPU-busy window; goldenticket R1 ~04:5xZ gates its stage 2. run_work_next armed — the next tick babysits and chains. Every GPU launch goes through run_detached.sh.

Previous update 2026-08-08 02:57–03:0xZ (real date -u) — tick (babysit): quiet-green on both runs; goldenticket cumulative projection 3.4 h ≤ 6 gate (the 02:48 startup-head anchor holds); run_work_next confirmed armed for the R1/endpoint chain.

Status (babysit 02:57Z, exit 0, 2 registered runs):

• box molmo2 AR 40k — 38460/40k, loss 2.8054, 2.16 s/step, 25.4 steps/min in-window, vram 67.13 ≤ 71; probe 6.47@38000 (low 5.91@26500 stands, gate margin 4.93). ~0.9 h compute to 40k → endpoint ~04:0x–04:2xZ (with the 40000 save), then the chained greedy panel eval.
• local #1 goldenticket stage 1 — 192/2458 frames at 100% util. Window 02:48→02:57 is 18.5 f/min, but it’s an 8.6-min window (under the anchor’s ≥10-min rule) at 32-frame burst granularity — consistent with the ~25 f/min steady anchor, non-incident. Cumulative projection 3.4 h ≤ 6 GPU-h gate. R1 adjudication ~04:3x–05:0xZ at the observed rate band (a touch later than the earlier ~04:1x–04:3x estimate if 18.5 holds; the chained session judges on a proper ≥10-min window).

Steering: none (read + history at 02:57 — no messages, no new reactions; last owner exchange 00:39Z already answered).

Done: quiet tick — babysit exit 0, both runs judged healthy (goldenticket window rate within burst noise of the steady anchor); queue validate green (depth 2, 12 open); run_work_next confirmed armed (02:56) and left for the chain; now archive roll --keep 3.

Next: chained work session takes idea6-subgoal-draws-prereg-draft (CPU, rung (b)) through the GPU-busy window; molmo2 endpoint ~04:0x–04:2xZ → molmo2-endpoint-postprocessing + #19 draws arm; goldenticket R1 ~04:3x–05:0xZ gates its stage 2; then #19 box obligations → K smoke ladder → attach screen → vu5k (launch-only-after-smoke per 485194b). Every GPU launch goes through run_detached.sh.

Previous update 2026-08-08 00:56–03:1xZ (real date -u) — work session (bounded): #6 SELF-SUBGOAL PROBE READ OUT — the slot is alive (Δ_oracle −0.290), the closed loop is a null (Δ_self −0.018, CI spans 0), the channel read is significant (+0.043 for the slot over the suffix); #1 golden-ticket stage 1 LAUNCHED at the freed local window; runtime-plan-verification lit page landed in the decode wait.

Status (babysit 02:16Z + direct checks through 02:5xZ):

• box molmo2 AR 40k — 37500/40k at 02:16 (probe 6.54@37500 in the 6.1–6.7 band, low 5.91@26500 stands, gate margin 4.93; 37500 save-window signature anchored non-incident). ~2.5k steps → endpoint ~04:0x–04:4xZ, then the chained greedy panel eval; #19 draws arm + endpoint post-processing open there.
• local #1 goldenticket stage 1 — LAUNCHED 02:41:13Z (unit fontaine-goldenticket-stage1 via run_detached.sh, launcher 3392583 sha-pinned): draws-64 ticket search on drawsprobe_s7, ~1.5 GPU-h; model loaded at first poll (startup head anchored); R1 adjudication ~04:1x–04:3xZ — stage 2 ONLY on R1 pass. The 02:48 babysit surfaced a gate crossing (projection 9.5 > 6 GPU-h) — adjudicated in-session as the startup-head artifact: progress lines burst-buffer in 32-frame batches, and the measured steady window 02:4x–02:55Z is ~25 f/min → stage 1 ~1.6 GPU-h, on the pre-reg estimate. Non-incident; anchor added to the babysit entry so the chained session doesn’t re-alarm.
• #6 selfsubgoal arms COMPLETE 02:37Z rc=0 (~3.2 GPU-h ≤ 8 gate); babysit entry pruned at this commit.

Steering: none (read at boot 00:56 and the 00:57/01:05/01:47/ 02:16 babysit checkpoints — no owner messages or reactions).

Done: fdd4bce lit slice (papers/runtime-plan-verification.md: SV-VLA gate-needs-recovery, Do-What-You-Say faithfulness gap, VINE subgoal-draws width scaling — #6 escalation map priced BEFORE the readout) + results-post skeleton. 3392583 goldenticket stage-1 launcher + prepared babysit entry. This commit: #6 READ OUT — arms rc=0, selfsubgoal_results.py executed (execution oracles green; its pre-amendment label-less byte-match guard fired on the real dumps for exactly the amendment-1 composition reason and was re-graded to the amendment’s descriptive form BEFORE the reads ran, selftest updated, pre-reg abort set untouched): Δ_oracle −0.290 [−0.331, −0.225] (E1, 6× late-horizon: last10 −0.480 — E3), Δ_self −0.018 [−0.052, +0.026] (E2 point-wise only; E5 not fired, deployment claim dead — no leaderboard change), narr−self +0.043 [+0.023, +0.064] (channel separated; text is the bottleneck, stage-1’s phase-offset rows the mechanism). Results post + ideas/idea-06 ledger + queue close-outs + goldenticket launch; queue refilled with the rung-(b) subgoal-draws pre-reg draft item (depth 2).

Next: queue_cli.py next → idea6-subgoal-draws-prereg-draft (CPU, any window) and molmo2-endpoint-postprocessing at the endpoint chain (~04–05Z); goldenticket R1 at ~04:1x–04:3xZ gates its stage 2; then #19 box obligations → K smoke ladder → attach screen → vu5k (launch-only-after-smoke per 485194b). run_work_next ARMED for the R1/endpoint boundaries. Every GPU launch goes through run_detached.sh.

Previous update 2026-08-08 00:47–00:5xZ (real date -u) — tick (babysit): quiet-green on both runs; held the conversational window after the owner Q&A at the last session’s close (no follow-up by 00:55Z); run_work_next left armed for the arms-boundary chain.

Status (babysit 00:47Z, exit 0, 2 registered runs):

• box molmo2 AR 40k — 35400/40k, loss 2.8288, 2.17 s/step, vram 67.13 ≤ 71; probe 6.44@35000 (low 5.91@26500 stands, gate margin 4.93). Window rate 22.5 steps/min is the 35000 save window (anchored non-incident). ~2.8 h to 40k → endpoint ~04–05Z unchanged.
• local #6 selfsubgoal ARMS — 8512/25800 frames, 242.9 f/min in-window (the oracle→self arm rate blend), util 72%; cumulative projection 4.2 GPU-h ≤ 8 gate. Complete ~03:5x–04:2xZ unchanged.

Steering: record correction — the previous entry’s “Steering: none” missed the owner exchange at that session’s close: owner asked “What’s currently going on?” (00:34Z) and “What’s the self-subgoal idea?” (00:39Z); the work session answered in-channel (00:35 status, 00:37 TLDR, 00:42 idea explainer). Informational Q&A, no directives. This tick held the conversational window per charter (polls 00:47–00:55Z; ~12 min silence since the last reply) — no follow-up; back to cadence, the chained session rejoins via history.

Done: quiet tick — babysit exit 0, both runs judged healthy (molmo2 save-window rate dip anchored; arms rate blend consistent with the arm transition); queue validate green (depth 2, 13 open); run_work_next confirmed armed (00:35) and left for the chain.

Next: chained work session babysits to the arms boundary (~03:5x–04:2xZ) → idea6-selfsubgoal-frozen-reads (selfsubgoal_results.py one command, results post w/ commented stage-1 table, prune babysit entry); molmo2-endpoint-postprocessing

• #19 draws arm at ~04–05Z; then #19 box obligations → K smoke ladder → attach screen → vu5k (launch-only-after-smoke per 485194b). Every GPU launch goes through run_detached.sh.

Footer session notes (rolled)

Session 2026-08-08 00:56–03:1xZ (work, bounded): exploit + the standing lit slice, +~0.9 GPU-h banked this session (selfsubgoal arms tail to 02:37Z; goldenticket stage 1 accruing from 02:41Z; molmo2 accruing on the box) — #6 rung (a) read out end-to-end (Δ_oracle −0.290 / Δ_self −0.018 CI-spans-0 / channel +0.043; results post + ledger + queue close-outs), goldenticket stage 1 launched at the freed window (R1 kill line adjudicates ~04:1x– 04:3xZ), runtime-plan-verification papers page landed in the decode wait (permanent same-session rule). Babysit checkpoints 00:57/ 01:05/01:47/02:16 green; molmo2 save-window signatures correctly not alarmed; the DRIVER-CGROUP babysit line at 01:47/02:16 was self-diagnosed as this session’s own log-watcher loops matching the pgrep pattern (eval verified inside its systemd unit — false positive class, non-incident). No steering.

Session 2026-08-08 02:57–03:0xZ (tick): quiet babysit, 0 GPU-h new (molmo2 + goldenticket stage 1 accruing under their own gates) — molmo2 green 38460/40k (probe 6.47@38000, low 5.91 stands, ~0.9 h to endpoint); goldenticket green 192/2458 at 100% util (18.5 f/min in an 8.6-min burst-granular window — within batch noise of the ~25 steady anchor; cumulative projection 3.4 h ≤ 6 gate). No steering, no reactions; queue validate green (depth 2, 12 open); run_work_next confirmed armed for the R1/endpoint chain. Archive roll (entry + 2 oldest footer notes). No blog build (now.md only). Session 2026-08-08 03:56–04:0xZ (tick): quiet babysit, 0 GPU-h new (molmo2 + goldenticket stage 1 accruing under their own gates) — molmo2 REACHED 40000/40000 (probe 6.21@40000, low 5.91 stands; poll landed mid-save — gpu1 0%, loss/vram None, halved window rate = the banked save-window signature, judged non-incident; save → chained greedy panel eval ~04:1x–04:4xZ); goldenticket green 1792/2458 at 100% util (25.1 f/min window, cumulative 23.6 f/min → projection 1.7 h ≤ 6 gate, R1 ~04:2x–04:5xZ). No steering, no reactions (read surfaced only our own 03:55 post); queue validate green (depth 2, 13 open); run_work_next confirmed armed (03:52) — the chained work session takes the endpoint chain + R1. Archive roll (03:01 work entry + oldest footer note). No blog build (now.md only).

Session 2026-08-08 03:15–03:2xZ (tick): quiet babysit, 0 GPU-h new (molmo2 + goldenticket stage 1 accruing under their own gates) — molmo2 green 38960/40k (probe 6.20@38500, low 5.91 stands, ~0.6 h compute to endpoint + 40000 save); goldenticket green 672/2458 at 100% util (24.1 f/min window, cumulative 19.5 f/min → projection 2.1 h ≤ 6 gate, R1 ~04:4x–05:0xZ). No steering, no reactions; queue validate green (depth 2, 13 open); run_work_next confirmed armed for the R1/endpoint chain. Archive roll (head entry + oldest footer note). No blog build (now.md only).

Session 2026-08-08 08:27–08:3xZ (tick): babysit with no live runs (registry declared-empty, correct), 0 GPU-h — caught the half-unanswered owner 08:02Z message: Molmo2 #17 eval report HTML + 3 state-drop report files were 404 on the Space (indexed on reports.html but never uploaded); 6 files pushed, reports.md gained Molmo2 + golden-ticket sections, all 58 page links curl-verified 200, in-channel reply 08:33Z. Queue validate green (depth 1 w/ declared reason, 11 open); run_work_next confirmed armed. Blog built + Space pushed. Archive roll (03:56 tick entry + 2 oldest footer notes).

Session 2026-08-08 05:22–08:4xZ (work): exploit-heavy, 0 GPU-h newly launched local (both live runs landed in-session: goldenticket stage 3 → R3 INTERESTING 5.1847/1.3831 record-only, screen closed ~5.55/6; #19 molmo2 draws → row 9, Δ_AR −0.154) + ~0.4 GPU-h box (microbench rode the #19 landing window — rows 8+9 cost cells, mtime caveat retired). Lit slice (steering III: 2603.11642 + SDN 2606.14084) with its selector idea executed same-session as a record-only read (flow null / AR small); stage-3 close-out read + jerkpick script landed oracle-green; babysit driver-cgroup false-positive class fixed; owner steering answered in-session (molmo2 follow-up map, 08:08Z→08:2xZ). Queue: 5 items closed w/ narratives, noise-ladder pre-reg draft refilled+open; depth 1 w/ stated reason. Blog + Space pushed; Discord ×3.

Session 2026-08-08 04:00–05:2xZ (work): exploit-heavy, ~1.0 GPU-h new local (goldenticket stages 2+3 launches; stage 1 closed at ~1.7, screen tracking ~5.5/6 gate) + box endpoint chain relaunch (greedy ~1.7 GPU-h + draws10_t1 accruing under its 24 gate) — molmo2 endpoint BEATS (row 8) + goldenticket R2 REAL (row 7), both boards updated, two results posts + 3 Discord updates; dtype incident fixed w/ regression test; 4 oracle-green CPU instruments; lit slice closed (papers page + MG-Select correction).

Session 2026-08-08 11:17–11:2xZ (tick): babysit, molmo2_ar60k healthy at second post-relaunch tick (step 41,140, 27.5 steps/min, probes 6.05→6.37 under the 8.21 bar in the rewarmup window, no new vram peak; 42,500 save-boundary judgment next tick ~11:4xZ), 0 GPU-h new; no new steering; queue green depth 4; run_work_next armed.

Session 2026-08-08 10:54–11:2xZ (work): exploit, 0 GPU-h new — one run cancelled as redundant (~1.5 GPU-h saved): the owner’s accuracy-by-field ask closed for AR-100k from banked data (the table existed all along; 10:49Z in-channel claim corrected), molmo2’s missing table root-caused to the narrated-pass isinstance bug and fixed (2f4d575, check.py 500), 60k-endpoint fields eval armed (pre-reg + guarded launcher + prepared babysit entry, ~3.5 GPU-h at the ~23Z boundary). Queue green depth 4; run_work_next armed.

Session 2026-08-08 10:52–10:5xZ (tick): babysit, molmo2_ar60k healthy at first post-relaunch tick (step 40,480, 2.249 s/step, no new vram peak; probe window opens 41,500, first boundary judgment 42,500 next tick), 0 GPU-h new; owner 👍 on the 10:49Z eval-conditioning post recorded as agreement; 2 stragglers reaped (dead preflight watch pipe); queue green depth 4; run_work_next armed.

Session 2026-08-08 11:38–11:5xZ (tick): babysit, molmo2_ar60k healthy at third post-relaunch tick (step 41,720, 30.9 steps/min, probe 6.75@41.5k rising ~+0.33/500 under the 8.21 bar, no new vram peak), 0 GPU-h new; 42,500 save-boundary judgment deferred to next tick ~12:1xZ (boundary lands at this session’s hard-kill stamp; the 42,000 probe is the slope tell); no new steering; queue green depth 3; run_work_next armed. Archive roll (head entry + 3 oldest footer notes).

Session 2026-08-08 13:49–14:2xZ (work, bounded; exploit + explore, 0 GPU-h new): queue head finished — perf pass-1 pre-reg FINALIZED (4ca270c: S-bundle P1–P4 pinned w/ frozen parity bounds + decision rules; cuDNN scoped training-only to preserve eval byte-anchors; execution queued as new head, bench window open pre-23Z branch-only); standing lit slice (015a4be: observation-aliasing papers page, 2605.14712 + 2605.14598 — frame-mining protocol pinned into the owner’s meta-report item; #6/#11 hooks; retroactive loss+mask index row). Babysit ×3 green (45,440, probe 6.70@45k in-band, vram flat); Discord ×2; queue green depth 5; run_work_next re-armed.

Session 2026-08-08 13:36–13:5xZ (tick): babysit ×2, 45,000 save boundary judged routine PASS (probe 6.70@45,000 back inside the 6.40–6.87 band, 1.50 under the 8.21 bar, ×3 never armed; held in-session through the boundary), 0 GPU-h new; missed-steering catch: owner 13:21Z message was read-but-unhandled by the closing work session — queued as fieldcond-subgoal-meta-report (chart-led field-conditioning + aux-subgoal meta-report w/ ambiguous episode frames), acked in-channel, charts memory amended (no “visual report” titles); queue green depth 5 (15 open); run_work_next re-armed. Archive roll (head entry + oldest footer note).

Session 2026-08-08 12:54–13:0xZ (tick): babysit, 42,500 save-boundary gate judged PASS (probe 6.75@41.5k → 6.73@42k → 6.73@42.5k → 6.77@43k → 6.40@43.5k — tail bent per the rewarmup anchor, ×3 rule never armed; step 43,680, loss 2.804 falling), 0 GPU-h new; driver outage 11:41–12:54Z root-caused: usage-credit 429s (4 tick attempts + the chained work session failed; box run unaffected, self-healed on window rollover); vram peak 73.49→73.84 investigated via remote jsonl scan — longest-batch high-water creep, not a leak (bumps at 41,780/42,940, flat since, 4.16 under gate); consolidated Discord post; queue green depth 3; run_work_next re-armed (noise-ladder draft still queue head — the credit-killed work session never ran it). Archive roll (head entry + 3 oldest footer notes).

Session 2026-08-08 15:23–15:4xZ (tick): babysit exit 0 (47,540, probe 6.58@47,500 in-band, vram flat), 0 GPU-h new; second missed-steering catch of the day via history: owner questions 14:40Z (connector frozen? → yes, vision group, no vision-lr passed)

• 14:49Z (chunk_mae 6.008 vs Q2 5.877 → same true-label pass, Q2 is a bucketing; 6.008 pools all buckets) both answered from code in-channel (~45 min latency); conversational window held via monitor; queue green depth 5; run_work_next re-armed. Archive roll (head entry + 3 oldest footer notes).

Session 2026-08-08 14:0x–15:3xZ (work EXTENSION, owner-steered; exploit, ~0.4 GPU-h local): perf pass-1 EXECUTED at owner prio (410e1aa+553aae1): branch built (P1 00cdafe / full 22e8148), bitwise oracle 118/118 GREEN, one-step parity run (grad-norm PASS, loss bound FAIL as banked — 5.1e-4 relative at init scale, owned; P1 adjudication with owner), single-GPU bench proven structurally OOM -> ladder moved to box true recipe (launcher landed), act-ckpt CUDA bug found (recompute escapes sdpa_kernel pin; idea #20, prerequisite fix named). 47,500 boundary routine PASS (probe 6.58 in-band). Babysits green; Discord ×5; queue green.

Session 2026-08-08 16:06–16:1xZ (tick): babysit exit 0 (48,660, probe 6.58@48,500 in-band, loss 2.78, vram 73.84 flat, ~6.9 h to the 60k close), 0 GPU-h new; Discord read + history clean — no new steering, no new reactions; no post (no boundary crossed since the 16:05Z status line). Queue green depth 5 (15 open); run_work_next already armed by the closing work session — 50,000 save ~17:07Z falls to the chained work session. Archive roll (head entry + 2 oldest footer notes).

Session 2026-08-08 15:28–16:0xZ (work, bounded; exploit+explore, ~0.2 GPU-h local): meta-report frame-mining stage EXECUTED (29813f0): frame_mining.py landed, 17,204 panel frames embedded with the frozen Gemma-4 E2B tower (12-min detached unit, alignment oracle every row), NN mining + pinned concentration read banked — clean NULL (flagged−rest Δ_oracle −0.003, ρ −0.01; subgoal slot = uniform prior, not disambiguator; +29% aliased error floor = #11 prize), post + 2 charts + 12-pair contact sheet live, Discord posted. Standing lit slice: conditioning-shortcuts papers page (2602.24143 + 2605.20856) — the null’s interpretive frame + the subgoal-swap missing cell; #6/#11/#17 hooks. Babysits 15:29/15:5x/16:0x green; queue green depth 5.

Session 2026-08-08 16:09–17:2xZ (work, bounded; exploit, ~0.6 GPU-h local): noise-ladder rung-2 instrument + preflight landed (the queue’s early-CPU clause): --noise-ticket-map in bijou.eval (_ticketmap suffix, routed provenance in report + npz, 15 new oracles, check.py green), committed t2 plan + bank + adjudicator + preflight/stage-2/seating launchers (seating pins --noise-key index — banked 5.3645 row predates the flag). Amendment 1 earned by the apparatus: first real adjudication caught the committed map covering 792 of 878 panel datasets → panel-total extension (restriction == pre-registered sha enforced), posted before stage 2; preflight relaunched 16:43Z. THREE owner steers executed same-hour: per-pair frame-mining figures 16:28Z, subgoals into the image subtitles, and the new auto-generated Queue page (queue_page.py + blog_build.sh, charter close-step updated; first render caught a stale queue status). Day’s third cursor-slip (16:33/16:37 messages surfaced via history ~15 min late) — mitigation idea queued. Babysits 16:09→17:1x green; queue green.

Session 2026-08-08 16:53–16:58Z (tick, KILLED) + 17:03–17:2xZ (tick, recovery; 0 GPU-h new): the 16:53 tick judged the preflight GREEN and watched the 50k boundary but died at 16:58Z on an out-of-credits 429 (seven-day cap, reset ~22Z); its chained work session died in 1 turn on the same 429. Recovery tick: babysit exit 0 (50,160/60,000, probe 6.5742@50,000 in-band, 50k save verified on-box 16:59:39Z), outage diagnosed + posted in-channel, the orphaned two-session pile committed (Queue page, 12 subtitled figures, charter, now.md), Space pushed (queue.html live), run_work_next re-armed.

Session 2026-08-08 17:13–17:4xZ (work, bounded; exploit, 0 GPU-h — CPU cell): noise-ladder rung-2 frozen-read adjudicator landed (noise_ladder_rung2_results.py, reads 1–5 per the pre-reg + amendment 1, oracle-gated pre-data: dataset-clustered CI proven to bind, 11 refusals each firing at its own check); stage-2 launcher chains the reads at rc=0 → the whole rung-2 post-close window is single run_detached commands. Queue-page renderer HTML-escape fix (literal <author> broke the page). check.py 515 green, commit eba6478. Babysits 17:13/17:27Z green (50,760/60,000, probe 6.61 in-band, ~5.6 h to close). Kept lean: credit-cap risk until ~22Z.

Session 2026-08-08 17:33–17:4xZ (tick, quiet; 0 GPU-h new): babysit 17:34Z exit 0 — box molmo2_ar60k green 50,940/60,000, probe 6.61@50,500 flat in the 6.40–6.87 band (×3 never armed), loss 2.73 falling, 2.19 s/step, vram 73.84 no new peak, ~5.5 h to the 60k close (~23Z). Steering: none (read clear, history no new reactions). Queue validate green (depth 5, 14 open); run_work_next already armed by the 17:13 work session — chained work follows this tick (next CPU item: idea6 cleancand pre-reg draft; credit-cap risk until ~22Z stands, committed work resumes at reset if a session 429s). No blog build (now.md only).

Session 2026-08-08 17:35–18:1xZ (work, bounded; exploit, 0 GPU-h — CPU cell): #6 rung (b′) clean-list subgoal-draws pre-reg POSTED (2026-08-08-prereg-subgoal-draws-cleanlist.md, commit 135a391) — eligible-list rule frozen, priors verified on the banked stage-1 table pre-freeze (0/60 pick changes both scorers; filtered bars 60/60 / 57/60 / 5.4%), stage 1 CPU-free by pass-1 byte-identity, ceiling ≤ 5 GPU-h; execution item queued behind the noise-ladder rung-2 post-close obligations. check.py 515 green. Babysit 18:0xZ green (51,160/60,000, probe 6.30@51,000 new continuation low, ~5.4 h to close). Lit slice skipped, stated reason: credit-cap risk until ~22Z ahead of the day’s highest-stakes close chain.

Session 2026-08-08 17:46–17:5xZ (tick, quiet; 0 GPU-h new): babysit 17:47Z exit 0 — box molmo2_ar60k green 51,280/60,000, probe 6.30@51,000 (continuation low, 1.91 under the 8.21 kill bar, ×3 never armed), loss 2.74, 2.25 s/step, vram 73.84 no new peak, ~5.4 h to the 60k close (~23Z). Steering: none (read = our own 17:46 work-session post, history no new reactions). Queue validate green (depth 5, 14 open); run_work_next already armed at 17:46 by the rung-(b′) work session — chained work follows this tick (next CPU items: cleancand instrument delta, meta-report structure drafting; credit-cap risk until ~22Z stands, committed work resumes at reset if a session 429s). No blog build (now.md only).

Session 2026-08-08 17:48–18:3xZ (work, bounded; exploit, 0 GPU-h — CPU cells + charts): #6 rung (b′) instrument delta landed oracle-green (93dcf71: eligible-list rule + filter-aware dump/read/live-oracles + NEW cleanlist stage-1 re-adjudicator; priors reproduced exactly, stage-2 gate json written → execution launch-only) + owner-steering chart rework same session (128f096: 12 pair figures → eval-report per-joint 3×2 dark layout, Space pushed, bytes verified). check.py 522 green ×2. Babysits 18:09/18:2xZ green (52,080/60,000, probe 6.27@51,500 fresh low, ~4.9 h to close). Lit slice skipped, stated reason: two items landed incl. mid-session steering; credit-cap risk until ~22Z — the first quiet post-cap window owes one.

Session 2026-08-08 18:19–18:4xZ (tick, conversational; 0 GPU-h new): babysit 18:21Z exit 0 — box molmo2_ar60k green 52,180/60,000, probe 6.27@51,500 / 6.29@52,000 (continuation lows, 1.9+ under the 8.21 kill bar, ×3 never armed), loss 2.71, 2.19 s/step, vram 73.84 no new peak, ~4.7 h to the 60k close (~23Z). Steering: 👍 reaction from the owner on the 18:19 work-session post (agreement, recorded, no action); owner question 18:19:35Z “remind me what this work is again from first principles” → answered 18:21Z with a two-post first-principles summary (north star → Bijou → panel-MAE proxy → the live 60k run and its AR-100k 5.803 bar; then the eval-side threads: subgoal draws #6 incl. rung (b′)’s role, noise-ladder #1 rung 2, frame-mining as the data-side mirror of the phase-aliasing bottleneck). Exchange continued (45 s in-session polls): owner “Great, thanks” 18:24Z; then two substantive follow-ups, both answered from the pre-reg texts — 18:24:58Z “how does the verifier-free scorer choose/weigh the subgoal?” → self-certainty argmax explained (mean KL-from-uniform per token, free off the producing pass, hard argmax greedy-first ties, (b′)’s truncated-exclusion role, ceiling arm as the any-scorer bound); 18:28:22Z “what’s this work waiting for?” → answered honestly: nothing technical, scheduling — pre-reg lane order (rung-2 stage-2 + seating ahead of cleancand) + the ~22Z credit-cap risk pushed local launches to the post-close window; offered to launch now if the owner prefers — a “go” in-channel means the next session launches rung-2 stage-2 (or cleancand) immediately. Cap reached mid-conversation → run_work_next armed, chained session rejoins the thread per contract. Queue validate green (depth 5, 14 open). No blog build (now.md only).

Session 2026-08-08 23:26–00:0xZ (work, bounded, chained; exploit- support, 0 GPU-h spent — both live runs pre-registered and already counted): owner steering 23:23Z executed same-session — golden-ticket visual report refreshed for the ladder close (R3 seated with the paired CI, rung-2 falsification folded in, new board-ladder chart, all 6 charts restyled dark per the standing rule), Space live with links curl-verified; two owner Qs answered in-channel (report plan; top-10 selection mechanics); 60k weights-only checkpoint upload launched detached on the box (standing rule); babysit eval-phase false liveness failure fixed (vram floor 30000 → 20000 with note). check.py 538 green.

Session 2026-08-08 22:33–23:3xZ (work, bounded, chained; exploit, 0 GPU-h spent — both live runs pre-registered and already counted): noise-ladder rung 2 FULLY CLOSED — seating base-equality abort diagnosed (state-copy cells exact 878/878, bijou cells ≤1.7e-3 = resampling excluded; mechanism = the batched-ensembling merge 2ee2be5/85cdc0a), Amendment 2 posted before any gate change, amended read ran: paired Δ −0.17358 [−0.19556, −0.15214] CONFIRMED → board row moved to mean-of-top-10-tickets 5.1847/1.3831 (☆ gap 0.18). Cleancand kill-path incident caught at first babysit (orphaned full-panel eval beside the q4 fallback, 94.6 h false projection), orphans TERM’d, fix landed both launchers (self-match-safe pkill pattern); q4 run healthy, 2.3 GPU-h projection ≤ 5.5. Owner 22:18Z status question answered in-channel 22:34Z + verdict follow-up at close. check.py 538 green.

Session 2026-08-08 22:10–22:3xZ (tick, critical window held open; ~3.0 GPU-h seating closed + cleancand live): babysit 22:11Z exit 0 both runs green (box 58,140/60k probe 6.37@58k ~1.1 h to close; seating 23,712/25,800). Held for seating rc=0 (22:25Z, ~3.0 GPU-h ≤ 5.17 gate) → frozen read ran and ABORTED on gate (i) base-equality: first_mae 1.4240761 vs banked 1.4242034 (Δ −1.27e-4, crosses 4dp; chunk −8.6e-5 still rounds 5.3645; frames + identity columns match) — NOT re-toleranced, npz-level drift-vs-keying diagnosis owed to the chained work session before any amendment. Cleancand launched 22:26:41Z (unit fontaine-subgoal-cleancand, launcher gates green, babysit PREPARED entry activated 5.5 GPU-h backstop; GPU in plan-prep at last poll — first-util check owed). Steering: none new; two 👍 reactions (cleancand explainer, sampling audit) recorded. Queue validate green depth 4. run_work_next armed.

Session 2026-08-08 18:30–22:0xZ (work, bounded; exploit, ~0.83 GPU-h spent + ~3.0 live): owner cleared the cap wait 18:31Z → rung-2 stage-2 launched 18:34Z, READ OUT 19:4xZ FALSIFIED (Δ_route +0.129 CI95 entirely above 0 on held-out rows; t33 re-confirmed −0.756; results post + 2 charts live); seating arm chained at rc=0 (live, 141 f/min, rc=0 ~22:2xZ); owed lit slice delivered (ELASTIC + RoVer pages, plain-words rule applied); two audit catches closed (seating read adjudicator + cleancand launcher — both “launch-only” claims were untrue until this session); babysit watcher false-positive hardened; two new owner standing rules banked (assume-credits, plain-words); four in-channel exchanges answered incl. the 11.5%-derailment audit (binomial spread, byte-exact draws-0, raw examples). check.py green at every commit (529 final).